Boston vs. Dallas Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, June 6, 2024

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The Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks are doing battle in the NBA Finals, with Game 1 up next.

The Celtics are a 6.5-point favorite against the Mavericks when the Celtics and the Mavericks square off. The game’s over/under is set at 216.5.

Celtics vs. Mavericks Odds

Point Spread for Celtics vs. Mavericks

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Celtics as the favorite.

Boston vs. Dallas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boston has -230 odds to win the game, while Dallas is listed at +190 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 216.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
  • TV: ABC

Celtics vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

The Celtics have gone 42-36-4 against the spread this season. Boston has won 63, or 79.7%, of the 79 games it has played as the favorite this season. Games involving the Celtics have hit the over 43 times this season.

The Mavericks have covered the spread 48 times this year (48-34-0). Dallas has come away with 12 wins in the 31 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. Mavericks games have gone over the total 36 times this season.

Celtics vs. Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Celtics

Jayson Tatum’s numbers for the season are 26.9 points, 4.9 assists and 8.1 boards per contest. Jaylen Brown’s numbers on the season are 23.0 points, 5.5 boards and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the field and 35.4% from downtown, with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game. Derrick White’s numbers for the season are 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per game, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Kristaps Porzingis’ numbers for the season are 20.1 points, 2.0 assists and 7.2 boards per game.

Mavericks

Luka Doncic gets the Mavericks 33.9 points, 9.2 boards and 9.8 assists per contest. He also averages 1.4 steals (seventh in league) and 0.5 blocks. Kyrie Irving contributes with 25.6 points per game, plus 5.0 boards and 5.2 assists. Daniel Gafford’s numbers for the season are 11.0 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest, making 72.5% of his shots from the floor (first in league). P.J. Washington averages 12.9 points, 5.6 boards and 1.9 assists, making 43.6% of his shots from the field and 32.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 treys per contest.

What you need to know about the Celtics

When it comes to points, the Celtics are thriving both offensively and defensively, as they rank second-best in the league in points scored (120.6 per game) and fifth-best in points allowed (109.2 per contest). The Celtics are allowing 43.3 rebounds per game this season (14th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve provided a lift by averaging 46.3 rebounds per game (second-best). The Celtics rank 14th in the NBA with 26.9 assists per game.

Boston is putting up 123.1 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 5.1 more points than it is averaging when playing on the road (118.0). Boston has been shining when it comes to three-point shooting this season, ranking best in the NBA in three-pointers per game (16.5) and second-best in three-point percentage (38.8%). Boston ranks fourth-best in the NBA by giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 35.2% to opposing teams. It ranks 14th in the league by allowing 12.9 treys per contest.

The Celtics have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 9-1 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Boston has hit the over seven times. The Celtics’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 113.8 points a contest compared to the 120.6 they’ve averaged this season. The last 10 games have seen Boston allow 5.1 fewer points per game (104.1) than its season-long average (109.2).

What you need to know about the Mavericks

In 2023-24, the Mavericks are seventh in the NBA on offense (117.9 points scored per game) and 20th on defense (115.6 points conceded). Dallas is 21st in the league in rebounds per game (42.9) and 25th in rebounds conceded (45.1). This season the Mavericks are ranked 19th in the NBA in assists at 25.7 per game.

At home the Mavericks are putting up 118.7 points per game, 1.7 more than they are averaging on the road (117.0). Beyond the arc, the Mavericks are third-best in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are 13th in 3-point percentage at 36.9%. Dallas gives up 13.1 3-pointers per game and concedes 36.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 18th and 18th, respectively, in the league.

The Mavericks are 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests. Six of Dallas’ last 10 contests have hit the over. In its last 10 games, Dallas is tallying 109.8 points per contest, compared to its season average of 117.9. The Mavericks are surrendering 104.7 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 10.9 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (115.6).

Celtics vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Celtics, and we project that Celtics will cover the spread (Celtics -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 216.5 points.

How to bet Celtics vs. Mavericks

You can bet on Boston vs. Dallas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boston vs. Dallas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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