76ers vs Heat Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, March 1, 2023

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The Philadelphia 76ers (39-21) are two-point favorites versus the Miami Heat (33-29) on March 1, 2023 at FTX Arena in a matchup featuring a pair of the strongest defensive squads in the league — the 76ers are third in points allowed per game (110.2) and the Heat are second (108.5). A 215.5-point over/under has been installed for the matchup.

How to bet 76ers vs. Heat

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing the 76ers as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the 76ers have -130 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +110 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 215.5 points.

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76ers vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

76ers vs. Heat Betting Trends

The 76ers are 35-25-0 against the spread this season. Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 44 games this year and has walked away with the win 31 times (70.5%) in those games. 76ers games this year have eclipsed the over/under 53.2% of the time (33 out of 62 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, the Heat are 22-37-3 this year. Miami has won 31.6% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (6-13). Heat games this season have hit the over on 27 of 62 set point totals (43.5%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


76ers Leaders
Joel Embiid 48 33 10.4 4.1 1.1 1.6 1
James Harden 44 21.6 6.2 10.7 1.3 0.6 2.9
Tyrese Maxey 41 19.5 2.8 3.5 0.8 0.1 2.3
Tobias Harris 56 15.3 5.8 2.5 1 0.5 1.8
De’Anthony Melton 57 10.4 4.1 2.7 1.6 0.5 2.1


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 47 21.9 5.9 5.1 2 0.3 0.5
Bam Adebayo 57 21.2 9.8 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 48 20.5 5.7 4.3 0.9 0.3 3
Max Strus 60 12.3 3.6 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.5
Victor Oladipo 29 10.4 3.3 3.7 1.6 0.2 1.4
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76ers vs. Heat Injury Report

Heat: Kevin Love: Probable (Knee), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Probable (Rib), Nikola Jovic: Out (Back)

What you need to know about the Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia has been carried by its defense, as it ranks third-best in the NBA by surrendering just 110.2 points per game. It ranks 16th in the league in points scored (113.9 per contest). The 76ers are scoring 114.9 points per game at home. On the road, they are averaging 112.5 points per contest. The 76ers have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 111 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.9 points fewer than the 113.9 they’ve scored this season.

With a 38.3% three-point percentage this season, Philadelphia ranks fourth-best in the NBA. It ranks 10th in the league by making 12.6 three-pointers per contest. The 76ers have taken 60.9% two-pointers and 39.1% from beyond the arc this year. Of the team’s buckets, 68.8% are two-pointers and 31.2% are three-pointers.

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

On offense Miami is the worst team in the league (108 points per game). But defensively it is second-best (108.5 points conceded per game). The Heat average 108.7 points per game at home, and 107.4 away. The Heat are scoring 105.5 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 2.5 fewer points than their average for the season (108).

Miami is 17th in the league in 3-pointers made (11.6 per game) and third-worst in 3-point percentage (33.3%). In 2022-23, the Heat have taken 40.5% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 59.5% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 29.9% of the Heat’s buckets have been 3-pointers, and 70.1% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this game is the 76ers, and we predict that Heat will cover the spread (76ers -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 215.5 points.

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You can bet on 76ers vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s 76ers vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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