76ers vs Heat Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Monday, February 27, 2023

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The Philadelphia 76ers (39-20) host the Miami Heat (32-29) on February 27, 2023 at Wells Fargo Center. The 76ers are big favorites, by six points, in a matchup featuring two of the league’s strongest defensive squads — the 76ers are third (110.4 points conceded per game), and the Heat are second (108.6). A 217-point over/under has been set in the matchup.

How to bet 76ers vs. Heat

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with sportsbooks listing the 76ers as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the 76ers have -232 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +190 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 217 points.

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76ers vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, February 27, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Arena: Wells Fargo Center

76ers vs. Heat Betting Trends

In the 76ers’ 59 games this year, they have 35 wins against the spread. Philadelphia has been the favorite in 43 games this season and has come away with the win 31 times (72.1%) in those contests. 76ers games this year have hit the over 33 times in 61 opportunities (54.1%).

In the Heat’s 61 games this year, they have 21 wins against the spread. Miami has gone 5-13 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 27.8% of those games). Heat games this season have eclipsed the over/under 44.3% of the time (27 out of 61 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


76ers Leaders
Joel Embiid 47 33.1 10.4 4.1 1.1 1.6 1.1
James Harden 43 21.6 6.2 10.7 1.2 0.6 2.9
Tyrese Maxey 40 19.4 2.8 3.6 0.8 0.1 2.2
Tobias Harris 55 15.5 5.8 2.5 1 0.5 1.8
De’Anthony Melton 56 10.4 4.1 2.7 1.7 0.5 2.1


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 46 21.9 5.8 5 1.9 0.3 0.5
Bam Adebayo 56 21.4 9.9 3.3 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 47 20.7 5.7 4.4 0.9 0.3 3.1
Max Strus 59 12.3 3.6 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.5
Kyle Lowry 44 12 4.3 5.3 1.1 0.4 2
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76ers vs. Heat Injury Report

Heat: Kevin Love: Probable (Knee), Kyle Lowry: Questionable (Knee), Tyler Herro: Questionable (Rib), Nikola Jovic: Out (Back)

What you need to know about the Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia has a top-five defense this season, ranking third-best in the league with 110.4 points allowed per game. Offensively, it ranks 16th with 114.2 points scored per contest. The 76ers are averaging 115.4 points per game when playing at home. In road games, they are averaging 112.5 points per contest. In their last 10 games, the 76ers have been scoring 111.6 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 114.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

With a 38.3% three-point percentage this season, Philadelphia ranks fourth-best in the NBA. It ranks 10th in the league by making 12.6 threes per contest. In terms of shot breakdown, the 76ers have taken 60.9% two-pointers (accounting for 68.8% of the team’s buckets) and 39.1% three-pointers (31.2%).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami is the worst squad in the NBA in points scored (108.1 per game) but second-best in points allowed (108.6). At home, the Heat average 108.7 points per game. On the road, they average 107.6. The Heat have played worse offensively over their last 10 games, compiling 105.4 points per contest, 2.7 fewer points their than season average of 108.1.

Miami is 18th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (11.6 per game) and third-worst in 3-point percentage (33.1%). In 2022-23, the Heat have taken 40.4% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 59.6% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 29.8% of the Heat’s buckets have been 3-pointers, and 70.2% have been 2-pointers.

76ers vs. Heat Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on 76ers vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s 76ers vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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