Yankees vs Red Sox Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 16

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In the second game of a three-game set at Yankee Stadium, the New York Yankees (62-28) take on the Boston Red Sox (48-43), Saturday at 7:15 PM ET. On the hill for the Yankees will be Jameson Taillon (8-2), matched up against the Red Sox’s Nick Pivetta (8-5).

Sportsbooks have made the Yankees a decent moneyline favorite (-166) at home over the Red Sox (+141). The game has an over/under of 8.5 runs.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

New York Yankees (-1.5)

Moneyline

Yankees (-166)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -115, Under: -105)

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When, Where, at What Time is Yankees vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Saturday, July 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

Yankees Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luis Severino 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Ron Marinaccio 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Chad Green 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Domingo Germán 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Zack Britton 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Ben Rortvedt 60 Day Injury List Oblique
Stephen Ridings 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Aaron Hicks Day-to-day Shin
Miguel Castro Day-to-day Shoulder
Josh Donaldson Day-to-day Hand

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Christian Arroyo 10 Day Injury List Groin
Kiké Hernández 10 Day Injury List Hip Flexor
Josh Winckowski 10 Day Injury List Illness
Matt Strahm 15 Day Injury List Wrist
Rich Hill 15 Day Injury List Knee
Michael Wacha 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Tyler Danish 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Connor Seabold 15 Day Injury List Forearm
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Matt Barnes 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back
Trevor Story Day-to-day Hand

Last Time Out: Yankees and Red Sox

Tanner Houck (2.00 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 0 K) was credited with a win in the Red Sox’s 5-4 victory over the Yankees yesterday. Rafael Devers led the way offensively, going 1-for-4 with a home run and two RBI. Michael King (1.00 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 0 K) was handed the loss for the Yankees.

Betting Trends

Yankees Betting Records and Team Stats

The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 85 times this season and won 58, or 68.2%, of those games. New York has entered 55 games this season favored by -166 or more and is 40-15 in those contests. The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 62.4%. New York’s games have gone over the total in 43 of their 90 chances. The Yankees are 43-47-0 against the spread in their 90 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Aaron Judge 87 .274 (47) .354 (39) .596 (3) 8.2% (1) 26.4% (132) 11.3% (34)
Anthony Rizzo 84 .218 (138) .332 (73) .493 (21) 6.3% (8) 17.9% (56) 11.6% (29)
DJ LeMahieu 82 .272 (52) .374 (15) .396 (102) 2.3% (104) 12.6% (13) 13.2% (11)
Gleyber Torres 81 .273 (48) .330 (76) .493 (21) 4.5% (30) 19.1% (69) 7.4% (97)
Giancarlo Stanton 75 .236 (115) .314 (103) .514 (17) 7.7% (3) 27.2% (137) 10.6% (46)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 41 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (43.9%) in those games. This season, Boston has come away with a win two times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +141 or worse on the moneyline. The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 41.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Boston and their opponents have gone over in 40 of their 91 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Red Sox have posted a record of 51-40-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 84 .326 (3) .383 (11) .600 (2) 5.7% (14) 17.8% (54) 7.0% (109)
Xander Bogaerts 87 .318 (5) .392 (8) .457 (48) 1.9% (122) 19.7% (78) 9.7% (62)
Alex Verdugo 84 .264 (65) .309 (111) .377 (127) 1.7% (131) 10.4% (5) 6.2% (124)
J.D. Martínez 81 .308 (10) .374 (15) .490 (23) 2.6% (93) 23.4% (105) 8.9% (73)
Trevor Story 81 .221 (135) .289 (136) .423 (75) 4.4% (33) 30.7% (150) 8.2% (83)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Yankees will pick up the victory in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-166). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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