Yankees vs Guardians ALDS Game 5: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Tuesday, October 18

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The New York Yankees host the Cleveland Guardians for a decisive Game 5 of the ALDS on Tuesday 4:07 PM ET at Yankee Stadium. The winner moves on to the ALCS. The Yankees will hand the ball to Nestor Cortes (12-4), but the Guardians’ starter has not been announced yet.

Oddsmakers have made the Yankees a decent moneyline favorite (-167) at home over the Guardians (+142). The game has an over/under set at 7 runs.

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds

Run Line

New York Yankees (-1.5)

Moneyline

Yankees (-167)

Total

7 Runs (Over: -104, Under: -118)

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When, Where, at What Time is Yankees vs. Guardians

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

Yankees Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Andrew Benintendi 40 Man Active Wrist
Michael King 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Chad Green 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Zack Britton 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Luis Gil 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Stephen Ridings 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Derek Dietrich Suspended List Suspension

Guardians Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Sandlin 40 Man Active Arm
Anthony Gose 60 Day Injury List Tricep

Last Time Out: Yankees and Guardians

Tuesday, the Yankees claimed a 4-2 win over the Guardians, with Gerrit Cole (7.00 IP, 2 R, 6 H, 8 K) registering the win for the Yankees. Harrison Bader finished 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI to lead the offensive showing. Cal Quantrill (5.00 IP, 3 R, 4 H, 3 K) picked up the loss for the Guardians.

Betting Trends

Yankees Betting Records and Team Stats

The Yankees have won 95, or 63.8%, of the 149 games they’ve played as favorites this season. New York has a record of 57-26 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -167 on the moneyline. The Yankees have a 62.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. New York’s games have gone over the total in 80 of their 169 chances. The Yankees have an ATS record of 74-95-0 in 169 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Aaron Judge 157 .311 (5) .425 (1) .686 (1) 9.0% (1) 25.3% (109) 16.0% (2)
Anthony Rizzo 132 .222 (115) .336 (51) .477 (22) 5.8% (5) 18.4% (52) 10.6% (28)
Gleyber Torres 143 .255 (68) .308 (95) .447 (49) 4.2% (37) 22.6% (84) 6.8% (95)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 142 .263 (55) .316 (79) .329 (124) 0.8% (126) 13.6% (17) 6.6% (100)
Giancarlo Stanton 110 .211 (-) .297 (-) .462 (-) 6.9% (-) 30.4% (-) 11.1% (-)

Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats

The Guardians have won in 38, or 45.8%, of the 83 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Cleveland has come away with a win nine times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +142 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 41.3% chance of walking away with the win. Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 80 of their 172 opportunities. The Guardians are 91-81-0 against the spread in their 172 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
José Ramírez 157 .277 (31) .353 (29) .512 (12) 4.3% (34) 12.0% (9) 10.1% (35)
Steven Kwan 147 .299 (11) .373 (12) .400 (91) 0.9% (125) 9.4% (2) 9.8% (42)
Amed Rosario 153 .281 (25) .311 (93) .403 (85) 1.6% (115) 16.6% (35) 3.7% (127)
Andrés Giménez 146 .294 (17) .368 (15) .463 (34) 3.1% (67) 20.3% (71) 6.2% (104)
Josh Naylor 125 .257 (-) .319 (-) .453 (-) 4.0% (-) 15.9% (-) 7.5% (-)

Yankees vs. Guardians Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Yankees to win (-167 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (7 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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