Yankees vs Guardians ALDS Game 1 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 11, 2022

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The New York Yankees square off against the Cleveland Guardians in the opening game of the ALDS on Tuesday 7:37 PM ET at Yankee Stadium. Gerrit Cole (13-8) will start for the Yankees, and Cal Quantrill (16-5) for the Guardians.

The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Yankees (-208) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Guardians (+176) at home. The over/under for this contest is set at 7.

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds

Run Line

New York Yankees (-1.5)

Moneyline

Yankees (-208)

Total

7 Runs (Over: +100, Under: -121)

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When, Where, at What Time is Yankees vs. Guardians

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:37 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

Yankees Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Andrew Benintendi 40 Man Active Wrist
Michael King 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Chad Green 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Matt Carpenter 60 Day Injury List Foot
Zack Britton 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Luis Gil 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Stephen Ridings 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Gleyber Torres Day-to-day Illness
Clay Holmes Day-to-day Shouder
Derek Dietrich Suspended List Suspension

Guardians Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Sandlin 40 Man Active Arm
Anthony Gose 60 Day Injury List Tricep

Last Time Out: Yankees and Guardians

The Yankees lost 4-2 to the Rangers Tuesday, with Domingo German (four innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits while striking out six) on the line for the loss. Jose Trevino went 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI to lead the Yankees offensively in the defeat.

The Guardians secured a 1-0 victory against the Rays Tuesday. Oscar Gonzalez (2-for-5 with a home run and an RBI) led the way offensively, while Sam Hentges got the win on the mound after going three innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out six.

Betting Trends

Yankees Betting Records and Team Stats

The Yankees have been favorites in 145 games this season and won 93 (64.1%) of those contests. New York is 35-6 this season when entering a game favored by -208 or more on the moneyline. The Yankees have a 67.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 79 of their 165 opportunities. In 165 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 72-93-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Aaron Judge 157 .311 (5) .425 (1) .686 (1) 9.0% (1) 25.3% (110) 16.0% (2)
Anthony Rizzo 132 .222 (116) .336 (51) .477 (22) 5.8% (5) 18.4% (52) 10.6% (28)
Gleyber Torres 143 .255 (68) .308 (96) .447 (49) 4.2% (37) 22.6% (84) 6.8% (96)
DJ LeMahieu 126 .261 (60) .357 (26) .377 (112) 2.2% (102) 13.1% (14) 12.4% (12)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 142 .263 (55) .316 (79) .329 (125) 0.8% (127) 13.6% (17) 6.6% (101)

Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats

The Guardians have won in 36, or 45.6%, of the 79 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Cleveland has come away with a win two times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +176 or worse on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 36.2% chance of pulling out a win. Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 79 of their 168 opportunities. The Guardians are 89-79-0 against the spread in their 168 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
José Ramírez 157 .277 (31) .353 (29) .512 (12) 4.3% (34) 12.0% (9) 10.1% (35)
Steven Kwan 147 .299 (11) .373 (12) .400 (91) 0.9% (126) 9.4% (2) 9.8% (42)
Amed Rosario 153 .281 (25) .311 (94) .403 (85) 1.6% (116) 16.6% (35) 3.7% (128)
Andrés Giménez 146 .294 (17) .368 (15) .463 (34) 3.1% (67) 20.3% (71) 6.2% (105)
Josh Naylor 125 .257 (-) .319 (-) .453 (-) 4.0% (-) 15.9% (-) 7.5% (-)

Yankees vs. Guardians Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Yankees vs. Guardians sees the Yankees (-208 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we pick the over on 7 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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