Yankees vs Astros ALCS Game 4 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time

The New York Yankees are at home for Game 4 of the ALCS against the Houston Astros on Sunday 7:07 PM ET at Yankee Stadium. The Astros have a 3-0 lead in the series as they look to sweep. The scheduled starters are Nestor Cortes (12-4) for the Yankees, and Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2) for the Astros.

Bookmakers have made the Yankees a decent moneyline favorite (-123) at home over the Astros (+104). The over/under for the Yankees-Astros game is set at 6.5.

Yankees vs. Astros Odds

Run Line

New York Yankees (-1.5)

Moneyline

Yankees (-123)

Total

6.5 Runs (Over: -120, Under: +100)

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When, Where, at What Time is Yankees vs. Astros

Game Day: Sunday, October 23, 2022
Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
TV Channel: TBS
Location: The Bronx, New York
Stadium: Yankee Stadium

Yankees Injury Report

Name	Status	Injury
Aaron Hicks	40 Man Active	Knee
Andrew Benintendi	40 Man Active	Wrist
Michael King	60 Day Injury List	Elbow
Chad Green	60 Day Injury List	Elbow
Zack Britton	60 Day Injury List	Shoulder
Luis Gil	60 Day Injury List	Elbow
Stephen Ridings	60 Day Injury List	Shoulder
Derek Dietrich	Suspended List	Suspension

Astros Injury Report

Name	Status	Injury
Jason Castro	60 Day Injury List	Knee
Michael Brantley	60 Day Injury List	Shoulder
Josh James	60 Day Injury List	Back

Last Time Out: Yankees and Astros

Yesterday, the Astros picked up a 5-0 victory over the Yankees, with Cristian Javier (5.00 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 5 K) registering the win for the Astros. Chas McCormick went 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI to lead the offense. Gerrit Cole (5.00 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 7 K) was credited with the loss for the Yankees.

Betting Trends

Yankees Betting Records and Team Stats

The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 151 times this season and won 96, or 63.6%, of those games. New York has a record of 90-49, a 64.7% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by sportsbooks this season. The Yankees have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 80 of their 173 opportunities. In 173 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 76-97-0 ATS.

Name	GP	AVG (Rank)	OBP (Rank)	SLG (Rank)	HR% (Rank)	K% (Rank)	BB% (Rank)
Aaron Judge	157	.311 (5)	.425 (1)	.686 (1)	9.0% (1)	25.3% (109)	16.0% (2)
Anthony Rizzo	132	.222 (115)	.336 (51)	.477 (22)	5.8% (5)	18.4% (52)	10.6% (28)
Gleyber Torres	143	.255 (68)	.308 (95)	.447 (49)	4.2% (37)	22.6% (84)	6.8% (95)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	142	.263 (55)	.316 (79)	.329 (124)	0.8% (126)	13.6% (17)	6.6% (100)
Giancarlo Stanton	110	.211 (-)	.297 (-)	.462 (-)	6.9% (-)	30.4% (-)	11.1% (-)

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have won in 11, or 47.8%, of the 23 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Houston has a win-loss record of 9-9 when favored by +104 or worse by sportsbooks this year. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 49% chance of pulling out a win. Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 62 of their 172 opportunities. The Astros are 92-80-0 against the spread in their 172 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name	GP	AVG (Rank)	OBP (Rank)	SLG (Rank)	HR% (Rank)	K% (Rank)	BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez	136	.307 (6)	.407 (2)	.614 (2)	6.6% (3)	18.9% (62)	13.9% (7)
Alex Bregman	156	.260 (61)	.367 (16)	.455 (42)	3.5% (54)	11.7% (8)	13.3% (8)
Jose Altuve	141	.298 (12)	.386 (7)	.531 (6)	4.6% (25)	14.4% (18)	10.9% (23)
Kyle Tucker	152	.257 (67)	.330 (58)	.478 (21)	5.0% (14)	15.7% (27)	9.7% (47)
Yuli Gurriel	147	.242 (90)	.288 (120)	.360 (118)	1.4% (118)	12.5% (12)	5.1% (118)

Yankees vs. Astros Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Yankees to emerge victorious (-123 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (6.5 runs).