Yankees vs Astros ALCS Game 4 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 23, 2022

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The New York Yankees are at home for Game 4 of the ALCS against the Houston Astros on Sunday 7:07 PM ET at Yankee Stadium. The Astros have a 3-0 lead in the series as they look to sweep. The scheduled starters are Nestor Cortes (12-4) for the Yankees, and Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2) for the Astros.

Bookmakers have made the Yankees a decent moneyline favorite (-123) at home over the Astros (+104). The over/under for the Yankees-Astros game is set at 6.5.

Yankees vs. Astros Odds

Run Line

New York Yankees (-1.5)

Moneyline

Yankees (-123)

Total

6.5 Runs (Over: -120, Under: +100)

Fanduel

4.9/5 Read Review

Great promos & odds boosts

When, Where, at What Time is Yankees vs. Astros

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

Yankees Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Aaron Hicks 40 Man Active Knee
Andrew Benintendi 40 Man Active Wrist
Michael King 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Chad Green 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Zack Britton 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Luis Gil 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Stephen Ridings 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Derek Dietrich Suspended List Suspension

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jason Castro 60 Day Injury List Knee
Michael Brantley 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Josh James 60 Day Injury List Back

Last Time Out: Yankees and Astros

Yesterday, the Astros picked up a 5-0 victory over the Yankees, with Cristian Javier (5.00 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 5 K) registering the win for the Astros. Chas McCormick went 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI to lead the offense. Gerrit Cole (5.00 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 7 K) was credited with the loss for the Yankees.

Betting Trends

Yankees Betting Records and Team Stats

The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 151 times this season and won 96, or 63.6%, of those games. New York has a record of 90-49, a 64.7% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by sportsbooks this season. The Yankees have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 80 of their 173 opportunities. In 173 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 76-97-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Aaron Judge 157 .311 (5) .425 (1) .686 (1) 9.0% (1) 25.3% (109) 16.0% (2)
Anthony Rizzo 132 .222 (115) .336 (51) .477 (22) 5.8% (5) 18.4% (52) 10.6% (28)
Gleyber Torres 143 .255 (68) .308 (95) .447 (49) 4.2% (37) 22.6% (84) 6.8% (95)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 142 .263 (55) .316 (79) .329 (124) 0.8% (126) 13.6% (17) 6.6% (100)
Giancarlo Stanton 110 .211 (-) .297 (-) .462 (-) 6.9% (-) 30.4% (-) 11.1% (-)

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have won in 11, or 47.8%, of the 23 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Houston has a win-loss record of 9-9 when favored by +104 or worse by sportsbooks this year. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 49% chance of pulling out a win. Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 62 of their 172 opportunities. The Astros are 92-80-0 against the spread in their 172 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez 136 .307 (6) .407 (2) .614 (2) 6.6% (3) 18.9% (62) 13.9% (7)
Alex Bregman 156 .260 (61) .367 (16) .455 (42) 3.5% (54) 11.7% (8) 13.3% (8)
Jose Altuve 141 .298 (12) .386 (7) .531 (6) 4.6% (25) 14.4% (18) 10.9% (23)
Kyle Tucker 152 .257 (67) .330 (58) .478 (21) 5.0% (14) 15.7% (27) 9.7% (47)
Yuli Gurriel 147 .242 (90) .288 (120) .360 (118) 1.4% (118) 12.5% (12) 5.1% (118)

Yankees vs. Astros Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Yankees to emerge victorious (-123 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (6.5 runs).

Fanduel

4.9/5 Read Review

Great promos & odds boosts

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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