Reds vs Cubs Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – August 11, 2022

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At Field of Dreams on Thursday, the Chicago Cubs (45-65) meet the Cincinnati Reds (44-66), fellow members of the NL Central, at 7:15 PM ET. The Reds will give the start to Nick Lodolo (3-3), and the Cubs will counter with Drew Smyly (4-6).

The moneyline odds for the game between the Reds (-112) and Cubs (-106) suggest a close contest. The total for this contest is set at 9.

Reds vs. Cubs Odds

Run Line

Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

Moneyline

Reds (-112)

Total

9 Runs (Over: -103, Under: -118)

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When, Where, at What Time is Reds vs. Cubs

  • Game Day: Thursday, August 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Location: Dyersville, Iowa
  • Stadium: Field of Dreams

Reds Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Mike Moustakas 10 Day Injury List Calf
Aramis Garcia 10 Day Injury List Finger
Robert Dugger 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Jeff Hoffman 15 Day Injury List Forearm
Hunter Greene 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Art Warren 15 Day Injury List Forearm
Daniel Duarte 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tony Santillan 60 Day Injury List Back
Lucas Sims 60 Day Injury List Back
Tejay Antone 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Connor Overton 60 Day Injury List Back
Tyler Stephenson 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Steven Brault 10 Day Injury List Illness
Jason Heyward 10 Day Injury List Knee
Alec Mills 15 Day Injury List Back
Wade Miley 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Kyle Hendricks 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Codi Heuer 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Manuel Rodriguez 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Michael Hermosillo 60 Day Injury List Quadricep
Ethan Roberts 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Adbert Alzolay 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Brad Wieck 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Christopher Morel Day-to-day Hamstring

Last Time Out: Reds and Cubs

Yesterday, the Cubs beat the Nationals 4-2. Michael Rucker was the winning pitcher after throwing one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run. Nico Hoerner paced the Cubs’ offense, going 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI.

Betting Trends

Reds Betting Records and Team Stats

The Reds have entered the game as favorites 23 times this season and won 10, or 43.5%, of those games. Cincinnati has entered 21 games this season favored by -112 or more and is 9-12 in those contests. The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%. Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 110 games with a total this season. In 110 games with a spread this season, the Reds are 52-58-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Farmer 96 .258 (70) .332 (71) .373 (120) 1.6% (125) 16.1% (43) 6.4% (109)
Joey Votto 86 .219 (137) .336 (66) .395 (98) 3.1% (71) 26.0% (129) 12.1% (14)
Nick Senzel 83 .251 (-) .308 (-) .320 (-) 1.0% (-) 19.4% (-) 6.0% (-)
Albert Almora Jr. 57 .233 (-) .273 (-) .368 (-) 2.4% (-) 18.5% (-) 4.9% (-)
Jonathan India 60 .244 (-) .306 (-) .387 (-) 2.9% (-) 24.5% (-) 4.9% (-)

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

The Cubs have come away with 30 wins in the 76 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. This season, Chicago has been victorious 29 times in 74 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or worse on the moneyline. The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 110 opportunities. The Cubs are 56-54-0 against the spread in their 110 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Willson Contreras 94 .253 (82) .364 (23) .463 (35) 3.9% (44) 21.8% (93) 9.3% (62)
Ian Happ 107 .276 (41) .355 (33) .430 (67) 2.0% (105) 23.2% (103) 10.0% (45)
Nico Hoerner 95 .300 (16) .342 (55) .421 (77) 1.9% (110) 10.8% (6) 4.7% (139)
Patrick Wisdom 106 .220 (135) .314 (102) .442 (60) 4.7% (23) 33.6% (148) 11.1% (30)
Christopher Morel 69 .266 (-) .336 (-) .463 (-) 3.5% (-) 29.1% (-) 9.0% (-)

Reds vs. Cubs Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Reds to earn the win (-112 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go over the total (9 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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