Red Sox vs Reds Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 30, 2023

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At Fenway Park on Tuesday, the Boston Red Sox (28-25) begin a three-game series versus the Cincinnati Reds (24-29), at 7:10 PM ET. Brayan Bello (3-2) will start for the Red Sox, and Ben Lively (2-2) for the Reds.

At home, the Red Sox are favored to win on the moneyline (-178) over the Reds (+150). The game has an over/under set at 9.5 runs.

Red Sox vs. Reds Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Moneyline

Red Sox (-178)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: -113, Under: -107)

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When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Reds

  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 30, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NESN
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Christian Arroyo 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Richard Bleier 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
John Schreiber 15-Day Injured List Back
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adam Duvall 60-Day Injured List Wrist
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Kutter Crawford Day-to-day Ankle

Reds Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Henry Ramos 10-Day Injured List Hip
Wil Myers 10-Day Injured List Kidney Stones
Derek Law 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Nick Lodolo 15-Day Injured List Calf
Casey Legumina 15-Day Injured List Ankle
Reiver Sanmartin 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Connor Overton 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Vladimir Gutierrez 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Tony Santillan 60-Day Injured List Back
Joey Votto 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Tejay Antone 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Justin Dunn 60-Day Injured List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Reds

The Red Sox’s matchup Tuesday versus the Diamondbacks ended in a 4-2 loss. Justin Turner went 2-for-5 with a home run and an RBI in the defeat, while Tanner Houck threw four innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits while striking out four en route to taking the loss.

The Reds beat the Cubs 8-5 Tuesday. Spencer Steer went 2-for-5 with a home run and two RBI, and Graham Ashcraft got the win, throwing five innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits while striking out six.

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 14 times this season and won nine, or 64.3%, of those games. Boston has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -178. The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 64%. Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 27 of 46 chances this season. In 46 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 27-19-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Alex Verdugo 50 .291 (24) .368 (29) .457 (64) 2.2% (119) 13.9% (18) 9% (89)
Masataka Yoshida 45 .303 (12) .379 (18) .474 (47) 3% (86) 10.6% (8) 9.6% (80)
Rafael Devers 50 .242 (110) .283 (148) .500 (31) 6.1% (12) 21.2% (86) 4.7% (150)
Justin Turner 51 .265 (67) .356 (40) .413 (92) 2.7% (104) 16% (32) 11% (52)
Kiké Hernández 47 .235 (122) .309 (124) .359 (138) 2.1% (125) 20.4% (72) 8.9% (90)

Reds Betting Records and Team Stats

The Reds have come away with 17 wins in the 38 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. This year, Cincinnati has won five of 12 games when listed as at least +150 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 40% chance of walking away with the win. Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 27 of their 47 opportunities. The Reds are 29-18-0 against the spread in their 47 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Jonathan India 53 .290 (27) .376 (20) .440 (79) 2.1% (125) 17.5% (45) 10.7% (60)
Spencer Steer 50 .284 (35) .352 (49) .485 (38) 3.2% (76) 20.8% (79) 8.8% (92)
Jake Fraley 47 .252 (89) .339 (72) .401 (104) 3% (86) 17.9% (48) 11.3% (46)
TJ Friedl 41 .333 (-) .384 (-) .507 (-) 2% (-) 19.9% (-) 6.6% (-)
Nick Senzel 39 .264 (-) .337 (-) .396 (-) 2.5% (-) 20.2% (-) 9.8% (-)

Red Sox vs. Reds Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Red Sox vs. Reds sees the Red Sox (-178 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we pick the under on 9.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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