Red Sox vs Rays Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 11

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A pair of squads in the AL East — the Boston Red Sox (47-39) and the Tampa Bay Rays (45-40) — meet on Monday at 7:10 PM ET, at Tropicana Field. The starting pitchers are Brayan Bello (0-1) for the Red Sox, and Matt Wisler (2-3) for the Rays.

Oddsmakers expect a close matchup between the Red Sox (-111 to win) and the Rays (-107). The game’s total is set at 7.5.

Red Sox vs. Rays Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)


Red Sox (-111)


7.5 Runs (Over: -116, Under: -104)

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When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Rays

  • Game Day: Monday, July 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Stadium: Tropicana Field

Red Sox Injury Report

Christian Arroyo10 Day Injury ListGroin
Kiké Hernández10 Day Injury ListHip Flexor
Matt Barnes15 Day Injury ListShoulder
Rich Hill15 Day Injury ListKnee
Michael Wacha15 Day Injury ListShoulder
Nathan Eovaldi15 Day Injury ListBack
Tyler Danish15 Day Injury ListElbow
Garrett Whitlock15 Day Injury ListHip
Connor Seabold15 Day Injury ListForearm
James Paxton60 Day Injury ListElbow
Chris Sale60 Day Injury ListRibs
Josh Taylor60 Day Injury ListBack

Rays Injury Report

Mike Zunino10 Day Injury ListShoulder
Kevin Kiermaier10 Day Injury ListHip
Wander Franco10 Day Injury ListWrist
Jeffrey Springs15 Day Injury ListLeg
Manuel Margot60 Day Injury ListKnee
JT Chargois60 Day Injury ListOblique
J.P. Feyereisen60 Day Injury ListShoulder
Andrew Kittredge60 Day Injury ListElbow
Yonny Chirinos60 Day Injury ListElbow
Tyler Glasnow60 Day Injury ListElbow
Brandon Lowe60 Day Injury ListBack
Nick Anderson60 Day Injury ListElbow

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Rays

The Red Sox won their last game against the Yankees yesterday by an 11-6 score. Christian Vazquez went 2-for-5 with a double, a home run and two RBI to lead them offensively. Hirokazu Sawamura picked up the win on the strength of two innings without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out two.

Yesterday, the Rays fell to the Reds 10-5. Shane Baz was the losing pitcher after throwing two innings, giving up seven earned runs on eight hits while striking out two. Josh Lowe paced the Rays’ offense, going 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI.

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been favorites in 49 games this season and won 30 (61.2%) of those contests. Boston has entered 48 games this season favored by -111 or more and is 29-19 in those contests. The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Red Sox. Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of their 86 opportunities. The Red Sox are 49-37-0 against the spread in their 86 chances this season.

NameGPAVG (Rank)OBP (Rank)SLG (Rank)HR% (Rank)K% (Rank)BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers80.327 (3).384 (12).593 (6)5.4% (17)17.8% (55)7.1% (103)
Xander Bogaerts82.311 (6).389 (7).449 (54)2% (117)20% (79)10% (60)
Alex Verdugo79.262 (65).310 (106).375 (124)1.8% (126)10.1% (5)6.5% (120)
J.D. Martínez77.311 (6).378 (16).493 (22)2.7% (86)23.4% (105)9% (73)
Trevor Story79.225 (130).294 (128).430 (66)4.5% (31)30.9% (148)8.3% (85)

Rays Betting Records and Team Stats

The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 29 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (41.4%) in those games. This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win 12 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win. Contests with Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 40 of 85 chances this season. The Rays have posted a record of 38-47-0 against the spread this season.

NameGPAVG (Rank)OBP (Rank)SLG (Rank)HR% (Rank)K% (Rank)BB% (Rank)
Yandy Díaz78.299 (20).412 (3).395 (104)1% (145)10.3% (6)15.1% (3)
Randy Arozarena82.255 (75).308 (109).425 (71)2.9% (76)25.9% (126)5.2% (140)
Harold Ramirez71.324 (-).373 (-).447 (-)1.7% (-)14.1% (-)6.6% (-)
Ji-Man Choi60.281 (-).391 (-).459 (-)3% (-)28.1% (-)15.7% (-)
Isaac Paredes46.240 (-).304 (-).548 (-)8.1% (-)18% (-)8.1% (-)

Red Sox vs. Rays Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Rays will pick up the win in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-107). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (7.5 runs).

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Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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