Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – April 3, 2023

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The Boston Red Sox (2-1) will host the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-2), Monday at 7:10 PM ET, in the opener of a three-game series. Kutter Crawford is the starter for the Red Sox, and Juan Carlos Oviedo for the Pirates.

Bookmakers have made the Red Sox a decent moneyline favorite (-155) at home over the Pirates (+131). The contest has an over/under set at 9.5.

Red Sox vs. Pirates Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Moneyline

Red Sox (-155)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: +100, Under: -120)

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When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Pirates

  • Game Day: Monday, April 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
James Paxton 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Joely Rodriguez 15-Day Injured List Oblique
Garrett Whitlock 15-Day Injured List Hip
Brayan Bello 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Wyatt Mills 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Pirates Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Robert Stephenson 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Jarlin García 60-Day Injured List Arm
JT Brubaker 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Max Kranick 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Pirates

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats (2022)

The Red Sox were favorites in 80 games last season and won 48 (60%) of those contests. Boston had a record of 17-10, a 63% win rate, when it was favored by -155 or more by oddsmakers last season. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 60.8% chance to win. Games involving Boston went over the total set by sportsbooks in 77 of 162 chances last season. The Red Sox had an ATS record of 84-78-0 in 162 games with a spread last season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 141 .295 (17) .370 (18) .521 (9) 4.4% (32) 18.6% (53) 9.9% (50)
Alex Verdugo 152 .280 (28) .330 (61) .405 (84) 1.7% (116) 13.4% (16) 6.8% (101)
Justin Turner 129 .278 (31) .351 (34) .438 (56) 2.4% (93) 16.7% (38) 9.6% (56)
Raimel Tapia 128 .265 (-) .292 (-) .380 (-) 1.6% (-) 18.9% (-) 3.7% (-)
Kiké Hernández 93 .222 (-) .291 (-) .338 (-) 1.5% (-) 17.7% (-) 8.5% (-)

Pirates Betting Records and Team Stats (2022)

The Pirates were victorious in 49, or 35.8%, of the 137 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season. Last season, Pittsburgh came away with a win 32 times in 103 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or longer on the moneyline. The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 73 of its 162 games with a total last season. The Pirates went 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line last season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Bryan Reynolds 145 .262 (58) .352 (33) .461 (36) 4.4% (32) 23.0% (86) 10.1% (42)
Andrew McCutchen 134 .237 (104) .317 (83) .384 (109) 2.9% (75) 21.4% (78) 10.0% (47)
Carlos Santana 133 .202 (128) .319 (80) .376 (115) 3.8% (46) 17.4% (45) 14.4% (6)
Ke’Bryan Hayes 138 .244 (87) .314 (93) .345 (120) 1.3% (121) 21.8% (81) 8.6% (70)
Connor Joe 111 .238 (-) .338 (-) .359 (-) 1.5% (-) 20.8% (-) 11.8% (-)

Red Sox vs. Pirates Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Red Sox vs. Pirates sees the Red Sox (-155 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the over on 9.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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