Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 27, 2022

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The Boston Red Sox (72-81) will attempt to stop a six-game losing streak on Tuesday against the Baltimore Orioles (80-73), with first pitch at 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park. The Red Sox will give the start to Michael Wacha (11-1), and the Orioles will turn to Kyle Bradish (4-7).

The Red Sox are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-129) at home over the Orioles (+110). The total for this contest is 8.5.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Moneyline

Red Sox (-129)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -122, Under: +101)

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When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Orioles

  • Game Day: Tuesday, September 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Eric Hosmer 10 Day Injury List Back
Trevor Story 10 Day Injury List Heel
Garrett Whitlock 15 Day Injury List Hip
Kutter Crawford 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Nathan Eovaldi 15 Day Injury List Neck
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Franchy Cordero 60 Day Injury List Ankle
Tanner Houck 60 Day Injury List Back
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back
Chris Sale 60 Day Injury List Finger/Wrist

Orioles Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tyler Wells 15 Day Injury List Shouder
John Means 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Chris Ellis 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Ramón Urías Day-to-day Neck
Isaiah Kearns Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Orioles

Yesterday, the Orioles claimed a 14-8 win over the Red Sox, with Spenser Watkins (4.00 IP, 4 R, 8 H, 2 K) registering the win for the Orioles. Cedric Mullins went 2-for-6 with a triple, a home run and three RBI to lead the offense. Connor Seabold (2.00 IP, 4 R, 5 H, 2 K) was handed the loss for the Red Sox.

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have won 45, or 58.4%, of the 77 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Boston is 29-21 this season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 56.3%. Boston’s games have gone over the total in 73 of their 156 chances. The Red Sox are 79-77-0 against the spread in their 156 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 133 .292 (16) .353 (29) .522 (9) 4.6% (26) 19.0% (66) 7.7% (81)
Xander Bogaerts 143 .313 (5) .382 (7) .463 (37) 2.3% (99) 18.8% (62) 8.9% (59)
Alex Verdugo 144 .282 (26) .330 (61) .404 (90) 1.6% (117) 13.4% (15) 6.5% (103)
J.D. Martínez 135 .270 (43) .339 (46) .433 (64) 2.3% (99) 24.5% (106) 8.9% (59)
Tommy Pham 142 .244 (92) .318 (83) .386 (108) 2.9% (76) 27.2% (123) 9.0% (57)

Orioles Betting Records and Team Stats

The Orioles have won in 63, or 49.6%, of the 127 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 48 times in 100 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 47.6% chance of walking away with the win. Contests with Baltimore have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 71 of 155 chances this season. The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 99-56-0 in 155 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Anthony Santander 144 .247 (82) .322 (74) .459 (40) 5.0% (17) 18.6% (58) 8.3% (70)
Cedric Mullins 149 .262 (58) .321 (77) .411 (81) 2.5% (90) 18.6% (58) 6.9% (98)
Ryan Mountcastle 138 .246 (86) .302 (112) .424 (68) 3.8% (47) 24.5% (106) 7.1% (90)
Austin Hays 137 .253 (73) .310 (99) .415 (78) 2.9% (76) 19.4% (70) 6.0% (113)
Adley Rutschman 105 .255 (-) .361 (-) .444 (-) 2.7% (-) 17.8% (-) 13.5% (-)

Red Sox vs. Orioles Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Red Sox to win (-129 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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