Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 26, 2022

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The Boston Red Sox (72-80) will host the Baltimore Orioles (79-73), Monday at 7:10 PM ET, with both squads on losing streaks — five and two straight, respectively. Connor Seabold (0-3) is the starter for the Red Sox, and Jordan Lyles (11-11) for the Orioles.

The Orioles (+111) take their show on the road to face the favored Red Sox (-131). The contest has a total set at 9.5.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Moneyline

Red Sox (-131)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: -115, Under: -106)

Fanduel

4.9/5 Read Review

Great promos & odds boosts

When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Orioles

  • Game Day: Monday, September 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Trevor Story 10 Day Injury List Heel
Eric Hosmer 10 Day Injury List Back
Kutter Crawford 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Nathan Eovaldi 15 Day Injury List Neck
Garrett Whitlock 15 Day Injury List Hip
Tanner Houck 60 Day Injury List Back
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back
Chris Sale 60 Day Injury List Finger/Wrist
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Franchy Cordero 60 Day Injury List Ankle

Orioles Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tyler Wells 15 Day Injury List Shouder
Chris Ellis 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
John Means 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Isaiah Kearns Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Orioles

The Red Sox’s matchup yesterday versus the Yankees finished in a 2-0 loss. Rob Refsnyder went 1-for-2 with a double in the defeat, while Brayan Bello threw six innings, giving up one earned run on six hits while striking out four en route to taking the loss.

The Orioles fell to the Astros 6-3 yesterday. Rougned Odor led the way offensively after going 2-for-4 with two RBI in the defeat, while Keegan Akin took the loss on the mound, pitching zero innings, giving up three earned runs on one hit.

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have won 45, or 59.2%, of the 76 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Boston has a record of 26-21 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -131 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 56.7%. So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 72 of their 155 games with a total. In 155 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 79-76-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 132 .289 (23) .351 (31) .519 (9) 4.7% (25) 19.2% (67) 7.8% (78)
Xander Bogaerts 142 .314 (4) .383 (7) .465 (37) 2.3% (99) 19.0% (65) 9.0% (57)
Alex Verdugo 143 .283 (25) .331 (60) .406 (85) 1.6% (117) 13.3% (15) 6.6% (103)
Tommy Pham 142 .244 (92) .318 (81) .386 (109) 2.9% (76) 27.2% (123) 9.0% (57)
J.D. Martínez 134 .269 (46) .339 (47) .426 (67) 2.2% (105) 24.6% (108) 9.0% (57)

Orioles Betting Records and Team Stats

The Orioles have been victorious in 62, or 49.2%, of the 126 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This year, Baltimore has won 47 of 97 games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 47.4% chance of pulling out a win. Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of their 154 opportunities. The Orioles have posted a record of 98-56-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Anthony Santander 143 .246 (85) .322 (74) .449 (50) 4.8% (22) 18.6% (58) 8.4% (69)
Cedric Mullins 148 .261 (63) .321 (77) .403 (91) 2.4% (93) 18.8% (60) 7.0% (95)
Ryan Mountcastle 137 .247 (83) .299 (118) .425 (68) 3.9% (47) 24.5% (105) 6.7% (102)
Adley Rutschman 104 .256 (-) .361 (-) .447 (-) 2.8% (-) 17.8% (-) 13.4% (-)
Austin Hays 136 .251 (77) .310 (100) .409 (83) 2.7% (82) 19.4% (70) 6.0% (113)

Red Sox vs. Orioles Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Red Sox to emerge victorious (-131 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go under the total (9.5 runs).

Fanduel

4.9/5 Read Review

Great promos & odds boosts

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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