Red Sox vs Mariners Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Wednesday, May 17

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At Fenway Park on Wednesday, the Boston Red Sox (23-20) meet the Seattle Mariners (21-21), with first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox will give the start to Brayan Bello (2-1), and the Mariners will counter with Marco Gonzales (3-0).

With the Mariners (+109) visiting, the Red Sox (-127) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.

Red Sox vs. Mariners Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Moneyline

Red Sox (-127)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: -113, Under: -108)

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When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Mariners

  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 17, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MLBN
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Christian Arroyo 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Garrett Whitlock 15-Day Injured List Elbow
John Schreiber 15-Day Injured List Back
Kutter Crawford 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adam Duvall 60-Day Injured List Wrist
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Kiké Hernández Day-to-day Hamstring

Mariners Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Dylan Moore 10-Day Injured List Abdominal
Penn Murfee 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Easton McGee 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Andres Munoz 15-Day Injured List Shouder
Robbie Ray 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Evan White 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Gabe Speier Day-to-day Illness

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Mariners

These clubs meet again following the Red Sox’s 9-4 victory over the Mariners yesterday. Nick Pivetta (5.1 IP, 4 R, 6 H, 6 K) earned the win for the Red Sox. Masataka Yoshida went 2-for-5 with a double, a triple and three RBI to lead the team on offense. Luis Castillo (5.0 IP, 5 R, 6 H, 6 K) took the loss on the mound for the Mariners.

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Red Sox have won nine out of the 16 games, or 56.2%, in which they’ve been favored. Boston has a record of 4-4 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -127 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 55.9%. Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of their 43 games with a total this season. The Red Sox are 25-18-0 against the spread in their 43 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Alex Verdugo 41 .303 (20) .378 (26) .491 (43) 2.7% (104) 13.5% (17) 8.6% (97)
Masataka Yoshida 35 .301 (22) .381 (22) .507 (33) 3.9% (54) 9.7% (6) 9.7% (79)
Rafael Devers 42 .255 (90) .302 (133) .521 (24) 6.1% (11) 20.7% (82) 5.6% (147)
Justin Turner 43 .269 (67) .360 (45) .400 (105) 2.2% (117) 14.5% (19) 10.8% (63)
Jarren Duran 27 .351 (-) .406 (-) .585 (-) 2.8% (-) 24.5% (-) 7.5% (-)

Mariners Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mariners have been underdogs in 11 games this season and have come away with the win five times (45.5%) in those contests. This year, Seattle has won two of five games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline. The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Seattle and their opponents have hit the over in 20 of their 42 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Mariners are 21-21-0 against the spread in their 42 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ty France 42 .275 (54) .354 (53) .394 (113) 1.1% (151) 12.2% (12) 7.2% (121)
Jarred Kelenic 40 .283 (46) .331 (92) .538 (15) 5.1% (25) 29.3% (153) 6.4% (137)
Julio Rodriguez 40 .217 (151) .286 (153) .398 (109) 3.8% (57) 29.1% (149) 7.7% (115)
J.P. Crawford 40 .240 (111) .368 (34) .333 (160) 0.6% (160) 20% (77) 16.8% (10)
Cal Raleigh 36 .230 (129) .317 (114) .460 (61) 4.9% (28) 30.3% (156) 11.3% (56)

Red Sox vs. Mariners Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Red Sox will pick up the victory in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-127). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (9.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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