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The Boston Red Sox (13-14) and Cleveland Guardians (13-13) will clash on Saturday at Fenway Park, starting at 4:10 PM ET. On the hill for the Red Sox will be Brayan Bello (0-1), matched up against the Guardians’ Zach Plesac (1-1).
Sportsbooks have made the Red Sox a decent moneyline favorite (-134) at home over the Guardians (+115). The game has an over/under set at 9 runs.
Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds
Run Line
Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Moneyline
Red Sox (-134)
Total
9 Runs (Over: -102, Under: -119)
When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Guardians
- Game Day: Saturday, April 29, 2023
- Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
- TV Channel: NESN
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Fenway Park
Red Sox Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall | 10-Day Injured List | Wrist |
| Yu Chang | 10-Day Injured List | Wrist |
| Garrett Whitlock | 15-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| James Paxton | 15-Day Injured List | Hamstring |
| Joely Rodriguez | 15-Day Injured List | Oblique |
| Chris Martin | 15-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Trevor Story | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Wyatt Mills | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Adalberto Mondesi | 60-Day Injured List | Hamstring |
| Zack Kelly | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
Guardians Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale | 15-Day Injured List | Oblique |
| Sam Hentges | 15-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Triston McKenzie | 60-Day Injured List | Shouder |
| Cody Morris | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Caleb Baragar | Minors | Elbow |
Last Time Out: Red Sox and Guardians
These squads play again after the Guardians’ 5-2 victory over the Red Sox yesterday. Shane Bieber (7.0 IP, 2 R, 5 H, 4 K) registered the win for the Guardians. Will Brennan went 1-for-3 with a home run and an RBI to lead the team on offense. Nick Pivetta (5.0 IP, 4 R, 5 H, 5 K) was credited with the loss on the mound for the Red Sox.
Betting Trends
Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats
The Red Sox have won seven, or 58.3%, of the 12 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Boston has entered seven games this season favored by -134 or more and is 4-3 in those contests. The Red Sox have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of their 27 opportunities. The Red Sox are 15-12-0 against the spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | 27 | .231 (131) | .293 (145) | .558 (14) | 7.9% (5) | 20.2% (75) | 7.9% (110) |
| Alex Verdugo | 27 | .299 (28) | .364 (52) | .449 (68) | 2.5% (104) | 13.6% (17) | 7.6% (119) |
| Masataka Yoshida | 27 | .275 (54) | .366 (51) | .463 (60) | 4.3% (51) | 10.8% (10) | 10.8% (65) |
| Justin Turner | 27 | .273 (57) | .376 (36) | .384 (117) | 1.7% (141) | 11.1% (12) | 11.1% (59) |
| Kiké Hernández | 27 | .245 (106) | .318 (110) | .398 (106) | 2.7% (95) | 23.6% (111) | 9.1% (94) |
Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats
The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in seven games this year and have walked away with the win four times (57.1%) in those games. Cleveland has been listed as an underdog of +115 or more on two occasions this season and split those games. The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 11 of their 26 opportunities. The Guardians are 9-17-0 against the spread in their 26 games that had a posted line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Ramírez | 26 | .273 (57) | .388 (22) | .475 (51) | 2.6% (102) | 10.3% (8) | 17.2% (11) |
| Steven Kwan | 26 | .265 (71) | .369 (48) | .314 (166) | 0.0% (166) | 10.8% (10) | 15.0% (20) |
| Andrés Giménez | 25 | .253 (91) | .340 (78) | .363 (127) | 1.0% (156) | 19.6% (70) | 7.8% (111) |
| Josh Bell | 26 | .215 (159) | .327 (96) | .376 (121) | 1.8% (137) | 22.0% (95) | 14.7% (24) |
| Myles Straw | 26 | .262 (78) | .340 (78) | .298 (172) | 0.0% (166) | 16.0% (36) | 9.6% (82) |
Red Sox vs. Guardians Picks and Predictions
Our pick for this matchup is the Red Sox to pick up the win (-134 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (9 runs).