Red Sox vs Guardians Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 27

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The Boston Red Sox (49-49) will host the Cleveland Guardians (49-47), in the third game of a four-game series, Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET. Nathan Eovaldi (4-3) will start for the Red Sox, and Cal Quantrill (8-5) for the Guardians.

The Red Sox are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-129) at home over the Guardians (+108). The game’s total is 8.5.

Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Moneyline

Red Sox (-129)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -117, Under: -103)

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When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Guardians

  • Game Day: Wednesday, July 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Rafael Devers 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Trevor Story 10 Day Injury List Hand
Christian Arroyo 10 Day Injury List Groin
Tyler Danish 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Matt Strahm 15 Day Injury List Wrist
Rich Hill 15 Day Injury List Knee
Michael Wacha 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Chris Sale 15 Day Injury List Finger
Kiké Hernández 60 Day Injury List Hip Flexor
Matt Barnes 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Guardians Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Oscar Gonzalez 10 Day Injury List Ribs
Anthony Gose 15 Day Injury List Tricep
Aaron Civale 15 Day Injury List Wrist
Cody Morris 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Guardians

Kirkland McCarty (4.00 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 4 K) registered a win in the Guardians’ 8-3 victory over the Red Sox yesterday. Nolan Jones led the way offensively, going 1-for-5 with a home run and three RBI. Josh Winckowski (3.00 IP, 5 R, 6 H, 1 K) took the loss for the Red Sox.

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Red Sox have been favored 52 times and won 31, or 59.6%, of those games. Boston has a record of 20-14 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -129 on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 56.3% chance to win. So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 98 games with a total. The Red Sox are 52-46-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Xander Bogaerts 94 .317 (6) .388 (10) .452 (54) 1.8% (124) 20.3% (81) 9.1% (68)
Alex Verdugo 91 .262 (65) .304 (119) .369 (131) 1.6% (129) 9.9% (5) 5.8% (131)
J.D. Martínez 85 .300 (18) .368 (21) .478 (33) 2.5% (97) 24.2% (107) 8.6% (76)
Christian Vázquez 79 .277 (-) .323 (-) .431 (-) 2.7% (-) 16.5% (-) 5.7% (-)
Jackie Bradley Jr. 86 .210 (-) .259 (-) .319 (-) 1.1% (-) 19.3% (-) 6.2% (-)

Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats

The Guardians have come away with 21 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. Cleveland has a win-loss record of 15-24 when favored by +108 or worse by sportsbooks this year. The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of their 96 opportunities. The Guardians have posted a record of 51-45-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
José Ramírez 92 .289 (32) .368 (21) .567 (7) 4.8% (24) 9.8% (4) 10.6% (44)
Amed Rosario 90 .295 (25) .332 (70) .410 (86) 1.0% (144) 14.7% (27) 4.9% (147)
Steven Kwan 84 .295 (25) .370 (19) .380 (120) 0.6% (152) 8.7% (2) 9.5% (59)
Josh Naylor 70 .280 (-) .332 (-) .500 (-) 4.8% (-) 15.9% (-) 7.0% (-)
Andrés Giménez 85 .301 (15) .363 (26) .486 (28) 3.6% (62) 21.2% (88) 5.2% (141)

Red Sox vs. Guardians Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Red Sox will pick up the win in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-129). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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