Guardians vs Red Sox Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 25

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Two teams on losing streaks — the Boston Red Sox (five in a row) and the Cleveland Guardians (two straight) — meet on Monday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park. On the hill for the Guardians will be Zach Plesac (2-7), opposed by the Red Sox’s Nick Pivetta (8-6).

The moneyline odds for the game between the Guardians (-112) and Red Sox (-106) suggest a close contest. The game has an over/under of 9.5 runs.

Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Moneyline

Guardians (-112)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: -101, Under: -120)

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When, Where, at What Time is Guardians vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Monday, July 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Guardians Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Oscar Gonzalez 10 Day Injury List Ribs
Anthony Gose 15 Day Injury List Tricep
Aaron Civale 15 Day Injury List Wrist
Cody Morris 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Rafael Devers 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Trevor Story 10 Day Injury List Hand
Christian Arroyo 10 Day Injury List Groin
Josh Winckowski 10 Day Injury List Illness
Tyler Danish 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Matt Strahm 15 Day Injury List Wrist
Rich Hill 15 Day Injury List Knee
Connor Seabold 15 Day Injury List Forearm
Michael Wacha 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Chris Sale 15 Day Injury List Finger
Kiké Hernández 60 Day Injury List Hip Flexor
Matt Barnes 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Guardians and Red Sox

The Guardians lost 6-3 to the White Sox yesterday, with Shane Bieber (six innings, giving up six earned runs on eight hits while striking out four) on the line for the loss. Steven Kwan went 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI to lead the Guardians offensively in the defeat.

The Red Sox were defeated by the Blue Jays 8-4 yesterday. Jarren Duran led the way offensively after going 2-for-4 with a double and a triple, and Brayan Bello was handed the loss, pitching four innings, giving up five earned runs on nine hits while striking out two.

Betting Trends

Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats

The Guardians have won 28, or 65.1%, of the 43 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Cleveland has a record of 28-14, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by oddsmakers this season. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 52.8% chance to win. So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of their 94 games with a total. The Guardians are 50-44-0 against the spread in their 94 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
José Ramírez 90 .287 (34) .363 (26) .570 (7) 4.9% (21) 9.8% (4) 10.3% (50)
Amed Rosario 88 .297 (20) .334 (65) .415 (84) 1.1% (142) 14.5% (24) 5.0% (146)
Steven Kwan 82 .292 (29) .369 (21) .380 (121) 0.6% (153) 8.6% (2) 9.8% (58)
Josh Naylor 68 .282 (-) .332 (-) .504 (-) 5.0% (-) 15.6% (-) 6.9% (-)
Andrés Giménez 83 .304 (13) .360 (29) .493 (21) 3.7% (55) 21.2% (87) 4.7% (148)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have won in 18, or 39.1%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Boston has a mark of 18-26 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -106 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 51.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Boston’s games have gone over the total in 44 of their 96 opportunities. The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 51-45-0 in 96 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Xander Bogaerts 92 .313 (7) .386 (12) .445 (59) 1.8% (123) 20.2% (79) 9.3% (67)
Alex Verdugo 89 .265 (62) .307 (114) .372 (129) 1.6% (130) 10.2% (5) 5.9% (127)
J.D. Martínez 84 .303 (16) .369 (21) .483 (29) 2.5% (96) 23.7% (105) 8.7% (73)
Christian Vázquez 77 .277 (-) .322 (-) .434 (-) 2.8% (-) 16.3% (-) 5.5% (-)
Jackie Bradley Jr. 85 .209 (-) .258 (-) .315 (-) 1.1% (-) 19.6% (-) 6.3% (-)

Guardians vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Guardians vs. Red Sox is the Red Sox (-106 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we pick the under on 9.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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