Red Sox vs Brewers Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 30

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At Fenway Park on Saturday, the Boston Red Sox meet the Milwaukee Brewers (three consecutive victories) at 4:10 PM ET. Nick Pivetta (8-6) will start for the Red Sox, and Eric Lauer (6-3) for the Brewers.

The moneyline odds for the game between the Red Sox (-110) and Brewers (-109) suggest a close contest. The game has an over/under of 10 runs.

Red Sox vs. Brewers Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Moneyline

Red Sox (-110)

Total

10 Runs (Over: -104, Under: -117)

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When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Brewers

  • Game Day: Saturday, July 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Christian Arroyo 10 Day Injury List Groin
Rafael Devers 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Trevor Story 10 Day Injury List Hand
Matt Strahm 15 Day Injury List Wrist
Rich Hill 15 Day Injury List Knee
Chris Sale 15 Day Injury List Finger
Michael Wacha 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Tyler Danish 15 Day Injury List Elbow
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Matt Barnes 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Kiké Hernández 60 Day Injury List Hip Flexor
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back

Brewers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jace Peterson 10 Day Injury List Elbow
Luis Perdomo 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Adrian Houser 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Miguel Sanchez 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Freddy Peralta 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Justin Topa 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jake Cousins 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jean Carlos Mejía Suspended List Suspension

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Brewers

Yesterday, the Brewers claimed a 4-1 victory over the Red Sox, with Brandon Woodruff (6.00 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 9 K) earning the win for the Brewers. Tyrone Taylor finished 1-for-2 with a triple and an RBI to lead the offensive attack. Brayan Bello (4.00 IP, 2 R, 4 H, 4 K) picked up the loss for the Red Sox.

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been favorites in 53 games this season and won 31 (58.5%) of those contests. This season, Boston has won 31 of its 53 games, or 58.5%, when favored by at least -110 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%. Boston’s games have gone over the total in 46 of their 101 chances. In 101 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 53-48-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Xander Bogaerts 97 .315 (7) .389 (9) .458 (53) 2.0% (114) 20.4% (82) 9.6% (58)
Alex Verdugo 94 .270 (52) .310 (109) .376 (125) 1.5% (132) 9.6% (4) 5.6% (132)
J.D. Martínez 88 .290 (30) .358 (29) .462 (44) 2.4% (100) 23.7% (105) 8.6% (79)
Christian Vázquez 82 .280 (-) .324 (-) .430 (-) 2.6% (-) 16.5% (-) 5.5% (-)
Jackie Bradley Jr. 89 .206 (-) .254 (-) .311 (-) 1.1% (-) 20.1% (-) 6.0% (-)

Brewers Betting Records and Team Stats

The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 21 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (47.6%) in those games. Milwaukee has a mark of 10-10 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -109 or worse on the moneyline. The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 50 of their 100 opportunities. In 100 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 45-55-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rowdy Tellez 95 .228 (127) .307 (114) .461 (45) 5.3% (16) 20.1% (78) 9.1% (69)
Christian Yelich 96 .257 (70) .358 (29) .393 (105) 1.9% (118) 24.5% (114) 13.1% (10)
Willy Adames 78 .221 (137) .293 (133) .463 (43) 5.9% (11) 27.0% (136) 9.1% (69)
Andrew McCutchen 84 .254 (76) .320 (98) .388 (112) 2.7% (86) 18.8% (64) 8.3% (82)
Kolten Wong 77 .244 (-) .330 (-) .408 (-) 2.3% (-) 17.0% (-) 9.3% (-)

Red Sox vs. Brewers Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Red Sox vs. Brewers is the Red Sox (-110 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we prefer the under on 10 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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