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At Fenway Park on Saturday, the Boston Red Sox meet the Milwaukee Brewers (three consecutive victories) at 4:10 PM ET. Nick Pivetta (8-6) will start for the Red Sox, and Eric Lauer (6-3) for the Brewers.
The moneyline odds for the game between the Red Sox (-110) and Brewers (-109) suggest a close contest. The game has an over/under of 10 runs.
Red Sox vs. Brewers Odds
Run Line
Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Moneyline
Red Sox (-110)
Total
10 Runs (Over: -104, Under: -117)
When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Brewers
- Game Day: Saturday, July 30, 2022
- Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Fenway Park
Red Sox Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Arroyo | 10 Day Injury List | Groin |
| Rafael Devers | 10 Day Injury List | Hamstring |
| Trevor Story | 10 Day Injury List | Hand |
| Matt Strahm | 15 Day Injury List | Wrist |
| Rich Hill | 15 Day Injury List | Knee |
| Chris Sale | 15 Day Injury List | Finger |
| Michael Wacha | 15 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Tyler Danish | 15 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| James Paxton | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Matt Barnes | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Kiké Hernández | 60 Day Injury List | Hip Flexor |
| Josh Taylor | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
Brewers Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jace Peterson | 10 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Luis Perdomo | 15 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Adrian Houser | 15 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Miguel Sanchez | 15 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Freddy Peralta | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Justin Topa | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Jake Cousins | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Jean Carlos Mejía | Suspended List | Suspension |
Last Time Out: Red Sox and Brewers
Yesterday, the Brewers claimed a 4-1 victory over the Red Sox, with Brandon Woodruff (6.00 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 9 K) earning the win for the Brewers. Tyrone Taylor finished 1-for-2 with a triple and an RBI to lead the offensive attack. Brayan Bello (4.00 IP, 2 R, 4 H, 4 K) picked up the loss for the Red Sox.
Betting Trends
Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats
The Red Sox have been favorites in 53 games this season and won 31 (58.5%) of those contests. This season, Boston has won 31 of its 53 games, or 58.5%, when favored by at least -110 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%. Boston’s games have gone over the total in 46 of their 101 chances. In 101 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 53-48-0 ATS.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | 97 | .315 (7) | .389 (9) | .458 (53) | 2.0% (114) | 20.4% (82) | 9.6% (58) |
| Alex Verdugo | 94 | .270 (52) | .310 (109) | .376 (125) | 1.5% (132) | 9.6% (4) | 5.6% (132) |
| J.D. Martínez | 88 | .290 (30) | .358 (29) | .462 (44) | 2.4% (100) | 23.7% (105) | 8.6% (79) |
| Christian Vázquez | 82 | .280 (-) | .324 (-) | .430 (-) | 2.6% (-) | 16.5% (-) | 5.5% (-) |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 89 | .206 (-) | .254 (-) | .311 (-) | 1.1% (-) | 20.1% (-) | 6.0% (-) |
Brewers Betting Records and Team Stats
The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 21 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (47.6%) in those games. Milwaukee has a mark of 10-10 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -109 or worse on the moneyline. The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 50 of their 100 opportunities. In 100 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 45-55-0 against the spread.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowdy Tellez | 95 | .228 (127) | .307 (114) | .461 (45) | 5.3% (16) | 20.1% (78) | 9.1% (69) |
| Christian Yelich | 96 | .257 (70) | .358 (29) | .393 (105) | 1.9% (118) | 24.5% (114) | 13.1% (10) |
| Willy Adames | 78 | .221 (137) | .293 (133) | .463 (43) | 5.9% (11) | 27.0% (136) | 9.1% (69) |
| Andrew McCutchen | 84 | .254 (76) | .320 (98) | .388 (112) | 2.7% (86) | 18.8% (64) | 8.3% (82) |
| Kolten Wong | 77 | .244 (-) | .330 (-) | .408 (-) | 2.3% (-) | 17.0% (-) | 9.3% (-) |
Red Sox vs. Brewers Picks and Predictions
Our prediction for Red Sox vs. Brewers is the Red Sox (-110 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we prefer the under on 10 runs.