Rays vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 26, 2023

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Two squads in the AL East — the Boston Red Sox (76-80) and the Tampa Bay Rays (95-62) — clash on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park. Zach Eflin (15-8) is the starter for the Rays, and Tanner Houck (5-9) for the Red Sox.

Despite playing away from home the Rays are at -134 to win, compared to the Red Sox at +112. The total in this contest is set at 8.5.

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Moneyline

Rays (-134)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -104, Under: -118)

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When, Where, at What Time is Rays vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Tuesday, September 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NESN
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Rays Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luke Raley 10-Day Injured List Neck
Brandon Lowe 10-Day Injured List Knee
Jose Siri 10-Day Injured List Hand
Jason Adam 15-Day Injured List Left Oblique
Shane McClanahan 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Drew Rasmussen 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Jeffrey Springs 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Calvin Faucher 60-Day Injured List Biceps
Garrett Cleavinger 60-Day Injured List Knee
Shane Baz 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Greg Jones 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Randy Arozarena Day-to-day Quadricep

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luis Urías 10-Day Injured List Calf
Triston Casas 10-Day Injured List Shouder
James Paxton 15-Day Injured List Knee
Joely Rodriguez 15-Day Injured List Hip
Corey Kluber 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Kaleb Ort 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Jarren Duran 60-Day Injured List Toe
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Knee
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Rays and Red Sox

The Rays lost their last game against the Blue Jays by a 9-5 score Tuesday. Isaac Paredes went 2-for-4 with a home run and three RBI to lead them offensively. Taj Bradley picked up the loss after throwing seven innings, giving up six earned runs on seven hits while striking out four.

The Red Sox lost to the White Sox Tuesday, with Kutter Crawford getting the loss while pitching 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on four hits while striking out seven. Adam Duvall went 1-for-2 with a home run and an RBI to pace the Red Sox’s offense.

Betting Trends

Rays Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Rays have been favored 128 times and won 83, or 64.8%, of those games. Tampa Bay is 65-26 this season when entering a game favored by -134 or more on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Rays. Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 85 of their 157 games with a total this season. In 157 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 86-71-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yandy Díaz 135 .328 (5) .408 (4) .515 (13) 3.5% (69) 15.6% (21) 10.7% (31)
Randy Arozarena 148 .256 (84) .364 (20) .428 (81) 3.6% (62) 24.2% (104) 12% (21)
Isaac Paredes 136 .251 (92) .354 (33) .490 (25) 5.5% (15) 18.1% (42) 10.2% (40)
Josh Lowe 126 .284 (-) .327 (-) .484 (-) 3.9% (-) 25.3% (-) 6% (-)
Harold Ramirez 117 .308 (-) .349 (-) .449 (-) 2.7% (-) 18.6% (-) 5.3% (-)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 80 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (45%) in those games. This season, Boston has come away with a win 26 times in 48 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline. The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Boston and their opponents have hit the over in 81 of their 156 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Red Sox are 74-82-0 against the spread in their 156 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 148 .274 (39) .354 (33) .511 (17) 5.2% (18) 18.9% (48) 9.4% (60)
Justin Turner 141 .276 (32) .346 (41) .459 (57) 3.8% (49) 17% (35) 8.4% (78)
Masataka Yoshida 135 .288 (13) .339 (51) .446 (68) 2.7% (101) 13.7% (10) 6% (112)
Alex Verdugo 134 .264 (63) .325 (81) .424 (85) 2.2% (114) 15.2% (17) 7.7% (85)
Adam Duvall 85 .249 (-) .308 (-) .538 (-) 6.2% (-) 31.1% (-) 6.5% (-)

Rays vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Rays to earn the win (-134 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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