Rays vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 4, 2022

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The Boston Red Sox (76-84) play the Tampa Bay Rays (86-74), who will be trying to snap a three-game losing skid, Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park. On the hill for the Rays will be Jeffrey Springs (9-4), matched up against the Red Sox’s Nathan Eovaldi (5-3).

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Rays are favored to win (-120) over the Red Sox (+102). The game has an over/under of 7.5 runs.

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Moneyline

Rays (-120)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -111, Under: -109)

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When, Where, at What Time is Rays vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Rays Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Roman Quinn 10 Day Injury List Knee
Jalen Beeks 15 Day Injury List Leg
Ryan Yarbrough 15 Day Injury List Upper Body
Ryan Thompson 60 Day Injury List Arm
Nick Anderson 60 Day Injury List Heel
Brandon Lowe 60 Day Injury List Back
Shane Baz 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Andrew Kittredge 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Brendan McKay 60 Day Injury List Elbow
J.P. Feyereisen 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Mike Zunino 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Kevin Kiermaier 60 Day Injury List Hip

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Rob Refsnyder 10 Day Injury List Back
Trevor Story 10 Day Injury List Heel
Garrett Whitlock 15 Day Injury List Hip
Kutter Crawford 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Chris Sale 60 Day Injury List Finger/Wrist
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Franchy Cordero 60 Day Injury List Ankle
Tanner Houck 60 Day Injury List Back
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back
Xander Bogaerts Day-to-day Back

Last Time Out: Rays and Red Sox

Yesterday, the Red Sox claimed a 4-3 win over the Rays, with John Schreiber (1.00 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 1 K) registering the win for the Red Sox. Rafael Devers went 3-for-3 with a double and an RBI to lead the offense. Kevin Herget (4.00 IP, 4 R, 7 H, 3 K) was credited with the loss for the Rays.

Betting Trends

Rays Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Rays have won 62 out of the 104 games, or 59.6%, in which they’ve been favored. Tampa Bay is 59-37 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline. The Rays have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 74 of their 165 opportunities. In 165 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 79-86-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yandy Díaz 138 .297 (13) .403 (5) .425 (67) 1.6% (117) 10.6% (4) 14.0% (6)
Randy Arozarena 152 .262 (57) .326 (63) .445 (52) 3.1% (68) 24.1% (98) 7.0% (91)
Harold Ramirez 119 .302 (-) .345 (-) .408 (-) 1.4% (-) 16.4% (-) 4.4% (-)
Isaac Paredes 110 .209 (-) .307 (-) .442 (-) 5.3% (-) 17.9% (-) 11.5% (-)
Wander Franco 84 .278 (-) .327 (-) .419 (-) 1.8% (-) 9.4% (-) 7.3% (-)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been underdogs in 81 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (34.6%) in those contests. Boston has a win-loss record of 23-47 when favored by +102 or worse by sportsbooks this year. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 77 of their 163 opportunities. The Red Sox are 83-80-0 against the spread in their 163 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 139 .296 (14) .359 (23) .522 (10) 4.4% (31) 18.8% (57) 8.1% (71)
Xander Bogaerts 148 .305 (6) .376 (10) .450 (45) 2.2% (102) 18.7% (55) 9.1% (54)
Alex Verdugo 150 .283 (26) .330 (59) .409 (79) 1.7% (115) 13.2% (15) 6.4% (103)
J.D. Martínez 141 .273 (35) .340 (46) .438 (57) 2.4% (93) 24.3% (102) 8.7% (65)
Tommy Pham 148 .238 (102) .314 (88) .376 (115) 2.8% (78) 26.5% (117) 9.1% (54)

Rays vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Red Sox to win (+102 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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