Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 6, 2023

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The Boston Red Sox (20-14) meet the Philadelphia Phillies (15-18), who will be attempting to halt a six-game losing streak, Saturday at 7:15 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park. On the hill for the Phillies will be Bailey Falter (0-5), matched up against the Red Sox’s Corey Kluber (1-4).

The Phillies are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-147) at home over the Red Sox (+125). The total for this contest is set at 9.5.

Phillies vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-147)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: -109, Under: -112)

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When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Saturday, May 6, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Cristian Pache 10-Day Injured List Knee
Darick Hall 10-Day Injured List Thumb
Andrew Bellatti 15-Day Injured List Tricep
Noah Song 15-Day Injured List Back
Ranger Suárez 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Rafael Marchan 60-Day Injured List Hand
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Adam Duvall 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Kutter Crawford 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Garrett Whitlock 15-Day Injured List Elbow
James Paxton 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Joely Rodriguez 15-Day Injured List Oblique
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Alex Verdugo Day-to-day Illness

Last Time Out: Phillies and Red Sox

Chris Sale (6.0 IP, 3 R, 7 H, 10 K) earned a win in the Red Sox’s 5-3 victory over the Phillies yesterday. Enmanuel Valdez led the way offensively, going 2-for-3 with an RBI. Zack Wheeler (5.1 IP, 4 R, 7 H, 5 K) took the loss for the Phillies.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have won nine, or 52.9%, of the 17 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Philadelphia has a record of 7-4, a 63.6% win rate, when favored by -147 or more by oddsmakers this season. The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%. Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 15 of 33 chances this season. The Phillies have an ATS record of 14-19-0 in 33 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Nicholas Castellanos 33 .315 (15) .370 (43) .504 (43) 2.9% (89) 26.8% (138) 8% (114)
Alec Bohm 33 .270 (66) .341 (78) .402 (99) 2.2% (122) 17.8% (55) 8.1% (111)
Brandon Marsh 32 .326 (9) .418 (10) .611 (7) 3.6% (65) 30% (160) 12.7% (41)
Trea Turner 33 .257 (86) .307 (132) .386 (114) 2% (127) 25% (122) 6.8% (138)
Bryson Stott 32 .301 (26) .329 (98) .397 (106) 1.4% (146) 18.2% (62) 4.2% (170)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have come away with 10 wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. This season, Boston has been victorious seven times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 44.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Boston and their opponents have gone over in 23 of their 34 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Red Sox have posted a record of 22-12-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 34 .242 (111) .306 (134) .553 (22) 7.6% (6) 20% (74) 7.6% (121)
Masataka Yoshida 34 .315 (15) .400 (15) .537 (25) 4.8% (38) 8.8% (4) 10.4% (69)
Alex Verdugo 33 .315 (15) .382 (32) .515 (39) 3.5% (70) 12.5% (17) 7.6% (121)
Justin Turner 34 .275 (59) .364 (53) .374 (125) 1.3% (150) 12.6% (18) 9.9% (81)
Jarren Duran 18 .406 (-) .444 (-) .672 (-) 2.8% (-) 25% (-) 6.9% (-)

Phillies vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Red Sox to win (+125 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (9.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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