Padres vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 21, 2023

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The Boston Red Sox (26-20) will visit the San Diego Padres (20-26), Sunday at 4:10 PM ET, with the Padres on a four-game losing skid. On the mound for the Padres will be Michael Wacha (4-1), opposed by the Red Sox’s Corey Kluber (2-5).

The Padres are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-145) at home over the Red Sox (+123). The game’s over/under is set at 9.

Padres vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Moneyline

Padres (-145)

Total

9 Runs (Over: -112, Under: -107)

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When, Where, at What Time is Padres vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Sunday, May 21, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSD
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: PETCO Park

Padres Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Manny Machado 10-Day Injured List Hand
Luis Campusano 10-Day Injured List Thumb
Seth Lugo 15-Day Injured List Calf
Nabil Crismatt 15-Day Injured List Hip
José Castillo 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Adrian Morejon 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Eguy Rosario 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Drew Pomeranz 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Robert Suarez 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Christian Arroyo 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Garrett Whitlock 15-Day Injured List Elbow
John Schreiber 15-Day Injured List Back
Adam Duvall 60-Day Injured List Wrist
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Justin Turner Day-to-day Knee

Last Time Out: Padres and Red Sox

The Red Sox defeated the Padres 4-2 yesterday, with Chris Sale getting the win (7.0 IP, 2 R, 3 H, 8 K) and Enmanuel Valdez leading the way offensively (going 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and three RBI). Joe Musgrove (5.0 IP, 4 R, 6 H, 6 K) took the loss for the Padres.

Betting Trends

Padres Betting Records and Team Stats

The Padres have been favorites in 21 games this season and won nine (42.9%) of those contests. San Diego is 8-8 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Padres. San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in nine of their 38 games with a total this season. The Padres are 17-21-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Juan Soto 46 .248 (99) .401 (9) .478 (52) 4% (52) 21.8% (92) 20.3% (2)
Xander Bogaerts 45 .262 (73) .359 (45) .411 (96) 3.1% (87) 15.4% (28) 11.8% (45)
Jake Cronenworth 45 .217 (151) .332 (86) .382 (119) 2.1% (122) 23% (103) 13.4% (26)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 26 .281 (-) .317 (-) .509 (-) 5.8% (-) 17.5% (-) 5% (-)
Ha-Seong Kim 42 .229 (135) .314 (117) .364 (133) 2.5% (108) 24.5% (115) 10.7% (65)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have won in 15, or 53.6%, of the 28 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Boston has come away with a win 11 times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or longer on the moneyline. The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 25 of 39 chances this season. The Red Sox are 26-13-0 against the spread in their 39 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 45 .258 (81) .302 (134) .545 (14) 6.8% (7) 20.8% (83) 5.2% (151)
Alex Verdugo 44 .303 (12) .381 (21) .486 (41) 2.5% (108) 13.7% (16) 9.1% (87)
Masataka Yoshida 38 .295 (25) .373 (30) .490 (38) 3.6% (64) 9.5% (4) 9.5% (83)
Justin Turner 45 .279 (48) .370 (33) .424 (83) 2.6% (104) 14.6% (22) 10.9% (62)
Jarren Duran 30 .343 (-) .398 (-) .552 (-) 2.5% (-) 23.7% (-) 7.6% (-)

Padres vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Padres vs. Red Sox sees the Red Sox (+123 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the under on 9 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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