Padres vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 20, 2023

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The San Diego Padres (20-25) will host the Boston Red Sox (25-20), Saturday at 10:10 PM ET, with the Padres on a three-game losing skid. The Padres will hand the ball to Joe Musgrove (1-1), and the Red Sox will turn to Chris Sale (3-2).

The Padres (-130) are moneyline favorites at home over the Red Sox (+110). The over/under for the Padres-Red Sox game is set at 8.

Padres vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Moneyline

Padres (-130)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -111, Under: -110)

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When, Where, at What Time is Padres vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Saturday, May 20, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MLBN
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: PETCO Park

Padres Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jose Azocar 10-Day Injured List Elbow
Luis Campusano 10-Day Injured List Thumb
Manny Machado 10-Day Injured List Hand
Seth Lugo 15-Day Injured List Calf
Nabil Crismatt 15-Day Injured List Hip
José Castillo 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Adrian Morejon 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Eguy Rosario 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Drew Pomeranz 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Robert Suarez 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Christian Arroyo 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
John Schreiber 15-Day Injured List Back
Garrett Whitlock 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adam Duvall 60-Day Injured List Wrist
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Alex Verdugo Day-to-day Groin

Last Time Out: Padres and Red Sox

Yesterday, the Red Sox claimed a 6-1 win over the Padres, with James Paxton (6.0 IP, 1 R, 5 H, 5 K) earning the win for the Red Sox. Rafael Devers finished 2-for-4 with two home runs and four RBI to lead the offense. Blake Snell (4.0 IP, 6 R, 5 H, 5 K) picked up the loss for the Padres.

Betting Trends

Padres Betting Records and Team Stats

The Padres have won nine, or 45%, of the 20 games they’ve played as favorites this season. San Diego is 9-9 this season when entering a game favored by -130 or more on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Padres. San Diego’s games have gone over the total in nine of their 37 chances. The Padres are 17-20-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Juan Soto 45 .247 (101) .399 (12) .462 (62) 3.5% (68) 21.2% (87) 20.2% (2)
Xander Bogaerts 44 .268 (62) .366 (40) .421 (86) 3.1% (85) 15.7% (31) 12% (41)
Jake Cronenworth 44 .221 (146) .333 (83) .390 (110) 2.2% (118) 22.4% (99) 13.1% (27)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 25 .282 (-) .319 (-) .491 (-) 5.2% (-) 18.1% (-) 5.2% (-)
Ha-Seong Kim 41 .228 (137) .316 (115) .360 (136) 2.6% (106) 24.5% (114) 11% (56)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been underdogs in 27 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (51.9%) in those contests. This year, Boston has won 12 of 21 games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline. The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 25 of their 38 opportunities. The Red Sox have posted a record of 25-13-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 44 .264 (70) .309 (121) .557 (9) 6.9% (7) 20.7% (83) 5.3% (149)
Alex Verdugo 43 .304 (13) .380 (24) .491 (42) 2.6% (106) 13.5% (16) 8.9% (89)
Masataka Yoshida 37 .299 (20) .378 (26) .493 (40) 3.7% (59) 9.1% (4) 9.8% (77)
Justin Turner 45 .279 (47) .370 (30) .424 (82) 2.6% (106) 14.6% (19) 10.9% (60)
Jarren Duran 29 .356 (-) .412 (-) .574 (-) 2.6% (-) 24.6% (-) 7.9% (-)

Padres vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Padres vs. Red Sox sees the Padres (-130 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we recommend betting on the over on 8 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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