Padres vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 19, 2023

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The Boston Red Sox (24-20) will visit the San Diego Padres (20-24), Friday at 9:40 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The Padres will hand the ball to Blake Snell (1-5), and the Red Sox will turn to James Paxton.

Sportsbooks have made the Padres a decent moneyline favorite (-151) at home over the Red Sox (+128). The contest has an over/under set at 7.5.

Padres vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Moneyline

Padres (-151)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -119, Under: -103)

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When, Where, at What Time is Padres vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Friday, May 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSD
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: PETCO Park

Padres Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jose Azocar 10-Day Injured List Elbow
Luis Campusano 10-Day Injured List Thumb
David Dahl 10-Day Injured List Quadricep
Seth Lugo 15-Day Injured List Calf
Nabil Crismatt 15-Day Injured List Hip
José Castillo 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Adrian Morejon 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Eguy Rosario 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Drew Pomeranz 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Robert Suarez 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Manny Machado Day-to-day Hand

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Christian Arroyo 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
John Schreiber 15-Day Injured List Back
Garrett Whitlock 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Kutter Crawford 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adam Duvall 60-Day Injured List Wrist
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Alex Verdugo Day-to-day Groin

Last Time Out: Padres and Red Sox

The Padres lost 4-3 to the Royals Friday, with Yu Darvish (5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits while striking out six) on the line for the loss. Jake Cronenworth went 2-for-3 with a home run and an RBI to lead the Padres offensively in the defeat.

The Red Sox earned a 12-3 victory against the Mariners Friday. Justin Turner (3-for-4 with a home run and two RBI) led the way offensively, while Brayan Bello got the win on the mound after going five innings, giving up one earned run on three hits while striking out seven.

Betting Trends

Padres Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Padres have been favored 19 times and won nine, or 47.4%, of those games. This season, San Diego has won six of its 13 games, or 46.2%, when favored by at least -151 on the moneyline. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 60.2% chance to win. San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in nine of their 36 opportunities. The Padres are 17-19-0 against the spread in their 36 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Juan Soto 44 .252 (96) .402 (8) .471 (56) 3.6% (66) 21.6% (91) 20.1% (2)
Xander Bogaerts 43 .275 (58) .374 (28) .431 (80) 3.2% (81) 15.5% (30) 12.3% (35)
Jake Cronenworth 43 .220 (147) .335 (81) .393 (112) 2.2% (117) 21.8% (95) 13.4% (25)
Manny Machado 40 .231 (124) .282 (151) .372 (129) 2.9% (88) 20.6% (82) 6.5% (136)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 24 .274 (-) .313 (-) .462 (-) 4.5% (-) 18.8% (-) 5.4% (-)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have come away with 13 wins in the 26 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. Boston has a win-loss record of 9-4 when favored by +128 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 43.9% chance of walking away with the win. Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 25 of their 37 opportunities. The Red Sox have posted a record of 24-13-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Alex Verdugo 42 .305 (16) .380 (24) .497 (41) 2.7% (102) 13.4% (17) 8.6% (94)
Masataka Yoshida 36 .300 (22) .381 (22) .500 (38) 3.8% (58) 9.4% (5) 10% (75)
Rafael Devers 43 .259 (83) .304 (134) .524 (22) 6% (13) 20.7% (84) 5.4% (150)
Justin Turner 44 .280 (48) .368 (37) .427 (83) 2.6% (106) 14.2% (19) 10.5% (69)
Jarren Duran 28 .361 (-) .418 (-) .588 (-) 2.7% (-) 24.5% (-) 8.2% (-)

Padres vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Padres to win (-151 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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