Padres vs Phillies NLCS Game 1 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 18, 2022

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The San Diego Padres meet the Philadelphia Phillies to open the NLCS on Tuesday 8:03 PM ET at PETCO Park. Yu Darvish (16-8) will start for the Padres, and Zack Wheeler (12-7) for the Phillies.

At home, the Padres are favored to win on the moneyline (-122) over the Phillies (+103). The game’s over/under is 6.5.

Padres vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Moneyline

Padres (-122)

Total

6.5 Runs (Over: -119, Under: -102)

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When, Where, at What Time is Padres vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:03 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FS1
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: PETCO Park

Padres Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Austin Adams 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Drew Pomeranz 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Fernando Tatis Jr. Suspended List Suspension

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
David Robertson 40 Man Active Calf
Corey Knebel 60 Day Injury List Back
Kent Emanuel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Mark Appel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Hans Crouse 60 Day Injury List Bicep
Simon Muzziotti 60 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Damon Jones 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
James McArthur 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Padres and Phillies

The Padres won their most recent game against the Dodgers Tuesday by a 5-3 score. Austin Nola went 1-for-3 with an RBI to lead them offensively. Tim Hill picked up the win on the strength of zero innings without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out one.

The Phillies picked up an 8-3 victory against the Braves Tuesday. Brandon Marsh (2-for-4 with a double, a home run and three RBI) led the way offensively, while Brad Hand got the win on the mound after going one inning without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out two.

Betting Trends

Padres Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Padres have won 68 out of the 117 games, or 58.1%, in which they’ve been favored. San Diego has a record of 61-42, a 59.2% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by sportsbooks this season. The moneyline for this contest implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Padres. San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 82 of their 173 chances. The Padres are 79-94-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Manny Machado 150 .298 (12) .366 (19) .531 (6) 5.0% (14) 20.7% (74) 9.8% (42)
Juan Soto 154 .242 (90) .401 (5) .452 (46) 4.1% (40) 14.5% (20) 20.4% (1)
Josh Bell 156 .268 (46) .363 (21) .424 (69) 2.6% (87) 15.8% (29) 12.6% (11)
Jake Cronenworth 158 .240 (92) .333 (52) .394 (97) 2.5% (91) 19.2% (65) 10.3% (33)
Brandon Drury 139 .263 (55) .320 (74) .492 (16) 4.9% (19) 22.2% (82) 6.7% (99)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have been victorious in 31, or 47.7%, of the 65 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Philadelphia has a mark of 25-24 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +103 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 49.3% chance of walking away with the win. Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 87 of their 172 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. In 172 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 87-85-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 155 .218 (121) .323 (71) .504 (15) 6.9% (2) 29.9% (126) 12.9% (10)
J.T. Realmuto 139 .273 (37) .339 (46) .475 (24) 3.9% (44) 21.3% (76) 7.3% (84)
Rhys Hoskins 156 .247 (81) .333 (52) .461 (36) 4.5% (28) 25.2% (108) 10.7% (26)
Alec Bohm 152 .278 (29) .314 (88) .398 (93) 2.1% (107) 17.5% (48) 4.9% (122)
Bryce Harper 100 .284 (-) .362 (-) .508 (-) 4.2% (-) 20.4% (-) 10.8% (-)

Padres vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Padres will pick up the victory in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-122). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (6.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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