Mets vs Reds Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Wednesday, May 10

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On Wednesday, the New York Mets (17-19) are visiting the Cincinnati Reds (15-20), at 6:40 PM ET. The Mets have lost three in a row. Justin Verlander (0-1) will start for the Mets, and Hunter Greene (0-2) for the Reds.

Bookmakers have set the Mets as the moderate moneyline favorites (-165) on the road versus the Reds (+139). The game has an over/under set at 9 runs.

Mets vs. Reds Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-165)

Total

9 Runs (Over: -101, Under: -120)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Reds

  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSOH
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tim Locastro 10-Day Injured List Back
Jimmy Yacabonis 15-Day Injured List Quadricep
Brooks Raley 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Elieser Hernandez 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Edwin Uceta 15-Day Injured List Ankle
Carlos Carrasco 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Omar Narváez 60-Day Injured List Calf
José Quintana 60-Day Injured List Ribs
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Stephen Ridings 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Sam Coonrod 60-Day Injured List Back

Reds Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Joey Votto 10-Day Injured List Shoulder
Reiver Sanmartin 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Fernando Cruz 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Connor Overton 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Tony Santillan 60-Day Injured List Back
Justin Dunn 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Tejay Antone 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Vladimir Gutierrez 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Graham Ashcraft Day-to-day Leg
Jake Fraley Day-to-day Back

Last Time Out: Mets and Reds

Luke Weaver (6.0 IP, 4 R, 4 H, 2 K) was credited with a win in the Reds’ 7-6 victory over the Mets yesterday. TJ Friedl led the way offensively, going 2-for-4 with a triple and two RBI. David Peterson (3.1 IP, 4 R, 7 H, 4 K) took the loss for the Mets.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have won 13, or 48.1%, of the 27 games they’ve played as favorites this season. New York is 6-7 this season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Mets. New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of their 37 opportunities. The Mets are 15-22-0 ATS in their 37 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 36 .237 (119) .322 (105) .526 (27) 7.9% (4) 23% (104) 10.5% (67)
Francisco Lindor 36 .224 (137) .323 (102) .448 (65) 3.9% (52) 24.5% (117) 9.7% (81)
Brandon Nimmo 36 .300 (25) .400 (13) .446 (68) 1.9% (132) 18.1% (53) 12.3% (39)
Jeff McNeil 36 .280 (49) .384 (29) .392 (105) 1.4% (142) 8.2% (3) 11% (58)
Mark Canha 34 .216 (146) .297 (140) .360 (132) 2.3% (115) 18% (51) 9.4% (89)

Reds Betting Records and Team Stats

The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (37.5%) in those games. This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win two times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 41.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Cincinnati and their opponents have gone over in 19 of their 35 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Reds have an against the spread mark of 21-14-0 in 35 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Jonathan India 35 .307 (21) .397 (14) .465 (57) 2% (127) 14.6% (24) 11.3% (54)
TJ Friedl 35 .325 (7) .370 (39) .496 (43) 2.4% (107) 19.7% (74) 5.5% (150)
Spencer Steer 35 .252 (91) .333 (81) .429 (78) 3% (85) 22.2% (97) 9.6% (84)
Nick Senzel 24 .268 (-) .333 (-) .415 (-) 3.3% (-) 17.8% (-) 7.8% (-)
Jake Fraley 34 .236 (-) .349 (-) .348 (-) 1.9% (-) 21% (-) 14.3% (-)

Mets vs. Reds Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Reds to emerge victorious (+139 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go under the total (9 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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