Mets vs Reds Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time

The Cincinnati Reds (15-21) will host the New York Mets (18-19), in the final game of a three-game series, Thursday at 12:35 PM ET. The Mets will hand the ball to Kodai Senga (4-1), and the Reds will counter with Derek Law (2-4).

Despite playing on the road, the Mets are still a decent moneyline favorite (-191) over the Reds (+161). The contest has an over/under set at 10.

Mets vs. Reds Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-191)

Total

10 Runs (Over: -115, Under: -106)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Reds

Game Day: Thursday, May 11, 2023
Game Time: 12:35 PM ET
TV Channel: MLBN
Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Mets Injury Report

Name	Status	Injury
Tomás Nido	10-Day Injured List	Eye
Tim Locastro	10-Day Injured List	Back
Jimmy Yacabonis	15-Day Injured List	Quadricep
Brooks Raley	15-Day Injured List	Elbow
Edwin Uceta	15-Day Injured List	Ankle
Carlos Carrasco	15-Day Injured List	Elbow
Elieser Hernandez	15-Day Injured List	Shoulder
Bryce Montes de Oca	60-Day Injured List	Elbow
Sam Coonrod	60-Day Injured List	Back
Edwin Díaz	60-Day Injured List	Knee
Stephen Ridings	60-Day Injured List	Shoulder
José Quintana	60-Day Injured List	Ribs

Reds Injury Report

Name	Status	Injury
Joey Votto	10-Day Injured List	Shoulder
Reiver Sanmartin	15-Day Injured List	Elbow
Fernando Cruz	15-Day Injured List	Shoulder
Connor Overton	15-Day Injured List	Elbow
Justin Dunn	60-Day Injured List	Shoulder
Vladimir Gutierrez	60-Day Injured List	Elbow
Tony Santillan	60-Day Injured List	Back
Tejay Antone	60-Day Injured List	Forearm
Graham Ashcraft	Day-to-day	Leg

Last Time Out: Mets and Reds

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been favorites in 28 games this season and won 14 (50%) of those contests. New York has entered 10 games this season favored by -191 or more and is 4-6 in those contests. The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.6% chance of a victory for the Mets. New York’s games have gone over the total in 17 of their 38 chances. The Mets are 15-23-0 against the spread in their 38 chances this season.

Name	GP	AVG (Rank)	OBP (Rank)	SLG (Rank)	HR% (Rank)	K% (Rank)	BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso	37	.239 (111)	.331 (85)	.543 (16)	8.3% (3)	22.9% (108)	11.5% (57)
Francisco Lindor	37	.223 (136)	.319 (106)	.439 (71)	3.8% (55)	24.4% (118)	9.4% (86)
Brandon Nimmo	37	.311 (14)	.406 (14)	.452 (67)	1.9% (133)	18.1% (51)	11.9% (50)
Jeff McNeil	37	.277 (49)	.377 (30)	.385 (110)	1.3% (149)	8.6% (3)	10.6% (70)
Mark Canha	34	.216 (147)	.297 (138)	.360 (128)	2.3% (118)	18% (44)	9.4% (86)

Reds Betting Records and Team Stats

The Reds have won in nine, or 36%, of the 25 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win one times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +161 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 38.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 19 of their 36 opportunities. The Reds are 22-14-0 against the spread in their 36 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name	GP	AVG (Rank)	OBP (Rank)	SLG (Rank)	HR% (Rank)	K% (Rank)	BB% (Rank)
Jonathan India	36	.305 (20)	.394 (15)	.458 (64)	1.9% (133)	14.8% (24)	11% (62)
TJ Friedl	36	.314 (12)	.359 (55)	.479 (51)	2.3% (118)	21.4% (93)	5.3% (156)
Spencer Steer	36	.244 (104)	.324 (96)	.415 (88)	2.9% (87)	22.3% (100)	9.4% (86)
Jake Fraley	35	.239 (-)	.349 (-)	.359 (-)	1.9% (-)	21.3% (-)	13.9% (-)
Nick Senzel	25	.259 (-)	.323 (-)	.400 (-)	3.2% (-)	19.4% (-)	7.5% (-)

Mets vs. Reds Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Mets vs. Reds is the Reds (+161 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we pick the under on 10 runs.