Mets vs Rays Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time

At Citi Field on Tuesday, the New York Mets (20-22) open a three-game series versus the Tampa Bay Rays (31-11), at 7:10 PM ET. Justin Verlander (1-1) will start for the Mets, and Jalen Beeks (1-2) for the Rays.

With the Rays (+139) visiting, the Mets (-166) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The over/under in this contest is set at 8.5.

Mets vs. Rays Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-166)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -107, Under: -114)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Rays

Game Day: Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
TV Channel: SNY
Location: Queens, New York
Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name	Status	Injury
Tomás Nido	10-Day Injured List	Eye
Tim Locastro	10-Day Injured List	Back
Jimmy Yacabonis	15-Day Injured List	Quadricep
Edwin Uceta	15-Day Injured List	Ankle
Carlos Carrasco	15-Day Injured List	Elbow
Omar Narváez	60-Day Injured List	Calf
Edwin Díaz	60-Day Injured List	Knee
Elieser Hernandez	60-Day Injured List	Shoulder
Bryce Montes de Oca	60-Day Injured List	Elbow
José Quintana	60-Day Injured List	Ribs
Stephen Ridings	60-Day Injured List	Shoulder
Sam Coonrod	60-Day Injured List	Back

Rays Injury Report

Name	Status	Injury
Tyler Glasnow	15-Day Injured List	Oblique
Drew Rasmussen	60-Day Injured List	Elbow
Jeffrey Springs	60-Day Injured List	Arm
Garrett Cleavinger	60-Day Injured List	Knee
Andrew Kittredge	60-Day Injured List	Elbow
Shane Baz	60-Day Injured List	Elbow
Shawn Armstrong	60-Day Injured List	Neck
Yandy Díaz	Day-to-day	Groin

Last Time Out: Mets and Rays

The Rays earned an 8-7 victory over the Yankees Tuesday. Taylor Walls (3-for-4 with a triple, a home run and four RBI) led the way offensively, while Zach Eflin got the win on the mound after going six innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits while striking out nine.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have won 16 out of the 33 games, or 48.5%, in which they’ve been favored. New York has a record of 7-8, a 46.7% win rate, when favored by -166 or more by sportsbooks this season. The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 62.4%. So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 43 games with a total. The Mets have an ATS record of 16-27-0 in 43 games with a spread this season.

Name	GP	AVG (Rank)	OBP (Rank)	SLG (Rank)	HR% (Rank)	K% (Rank)	BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso	42	.232 (121)	.335 (78)	.503 (32)	7.3% (4)	23.5% (107)	12.3% (39)
Brandon Nimmo	41	.316 (7)	.404 (11)	.445 (68)	1.6% (138)	17.5% (47)	11.5% (48)
Francisco Lindor	42	.224 (138)	.308 (124)	.422 (86)	3.3% (78)	23.6% (109)	8.2% (105)
Jeff McNeil	42	.270 (62)	.356 (53)	.362 (134)	1.1% (146)	8.6% (4)	9.2% (85)
Mark Canha	37	.236 (114)	.306 (128)	.386 (117)	2.1% (121)	17.4% (45)	8.3% (100)

Rays Betting Records and Team Stats

The Rays have won in two of the four contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +139 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game. The Rays have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 23 of their 42 opportunities. The Rays are 26-16-0 against the spread in their 42 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name	GP	AVG (Rank)	OBP (Rank)	SLG (Rank)	HR% (Rank)	K% (Rank)	BB% (Rank)
Yandy Díaz	39	.321 (4)	.429 (3)	.593 (3)	6% (10)	14.9% (24)	13.7% (24)
Wander Franco	40	.301 (21)	.354 (55)	.521 (26)	3.9% (54)	15.2% (27)	6.7% (128)
Randy Arozarena	40	.320 (5)	.400 (14)	.567 (7)	5.7% (16)	22.9% (104)	9.7% (78)
Josh Lowe	32	.306 (-)	.364 (-)	.622 (-)	7.4% (-)	23.1% (-)	8.3% (-)
Taylor Walls	29	.281 (-)	.373 (-)	.583 (-)	6.4% (-)	21.8% (-)	11.8% (-)

Mets vs. Rays Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Rays to win (+139 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go under the total (8.5 runs).