Mets vs Pirates Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 17, 2022

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In the third game of a four-game set at Citi Field, the New York Mets (91-55) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-90), Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. Chris Bassitt (13-8) will start for the Mets, and Bryse Wilson (3-8) for the Pirates.

The Pirates are a big underdog (+263) on the road at the Mets (-326). The game’s total is set at 7.5.

Mets vs. Pirates Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-326)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -113, Under: -107)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Pirates

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10 Day Injury List Finger
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Bryce Montes de Oca 15 Day Injury List Hamstring
Stephen Nogosek 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Drew Smith 15 Day Injury List Back
Max Scherzer 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Pirates Injury Report

Name Status Injury
David Bednar 15 Day Injury List Back
Canaan Smith 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Max Kranick 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Colin Holderman 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Yerry De Los Santos 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Blake Cederlind 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Roberto Pérez 60 Day Injury List Hamstring
Kevin Newman Day-to-day Finger

Last Time Out: Mets and Pirates

The Mets took down the Pirates 4-3 yesterday, with Taijuan Walker getting the win (7.00 IP, 2 R, 5 H, 5 K) and Daniel Vogelbach leading the way offensively (going 1-for-2 with a home run and an RBI). Mitch Keller (6.00 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 6 K) took the loss for the Pirates.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have entered the game as favorites 114 times this season and won 75, or 65.8%, of those games. This season, New York has won five of its 10 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -326 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 76.5%. New York and its opponents have hit the over in 77 of their 150 games with a total this season. The Mets are 79-71-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 145 .269 (44) .346 (40) .506 (14) 5.7% (9) 19.4% (70) 9.2% (58)
Francisco Lindor 145 .267 (49) .343 (44) .447 (52) 3.8% (47) 18.7% (61) 9.1% (62)
Brandon Nimmo 137 .263 (60) .356 (27) .418 (74) 2.3% (101) 17.4% (48) 10.3% (38)
Jeff McNeil 132 .319 (3) .371 (13) .446 (53) 1.3% (125) 11.3% (6) 6.3% (108)
Mark Canha 124 .268 (48) .367 (16) .410 (81) 2.5% (89) 17.1% (44) 9.5% (51)

Pirates Betting Records and Team Stats

The Pirates have been victorious in 49, or 37.1%, of the 132 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by +263 or worse by sportsbooks this year. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 27.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Pittsburgh and their opponents have gone over in 66 of their 150 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Pirates have posted a record of 78-72-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Bryan Reynolds 129 .257 (70) .336 (56) .448 (51) 4.2% (38) 22.5% (90) 9.2% (58)
Ke’Bryan Hayes 123 .246 (86) .315 (93) .352 (125) 1.4% (123) 22.2% (89) 8.7% (67)
Ben Gamel 104 .233 (-) .317 (-) .369 (-) 2.1% (-) 22.9% (-) 10.3% (-)
Michael Chavis 123 .241 (-) .276 (-) .408 (-) 3.4% (-) 29.6% (-) 4.4% (-)
Oneil Cruz 72 .221 (-) .268 (-) .460 (-) 5.5% (-) 37.8% (-) 6.2% (-)

Mets vs. Pirates Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Mets to emerge victorious (-326 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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