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On Thursday, a series opener is on the schedule, with the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-88) visiting the New York Mets (89-55) at 7:20 PM ET. Carlos Carrasco (14-6) will start for the Mets, and JT Brubaker (3-11) for the Pirates.
Oddsmakers have made the Mets a decent moneyline favorite (-266) at home over the Pirates (+221). The over/under for this contest is 7.5.
Mets vs. Pirates Odds
Run Line
New York Mets (-1.5)
Moneyline
Mets (-266)
Total
7.5 Runs (Over: -109, Under: -111)
When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Pirates
- Game Day: Thursday, September 15, 2022
- Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
- Location: Queens, New York
- Stadium: Citi Field
Mets Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 10 Day Injury List | Finger |
| Brett Baty | 10 Day Injury List | Thumb |
| Bryce Montes de Oca | 15 Day Injury List | Hamstring |
| Stephen Nogosek | 15 Day Injury List | Oblique |
| Drew Smith | 15 Day Injury List | Back |
| Max Scherzer | 15 Day Injury List | Oblique |
| Tylor Megill | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Sean Reid-Foley | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| John Curtiss | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Joey Lucchesi | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
Pirates Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Dillon Peters | 15 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| David Bednar | 15 Day Injury List | Back |
| Canaan Smith | 60 Day Injury List | Wrist |
| Max Kranick | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Colin Holderman | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Yerry De Los Santos | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Blake Cederlind | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Roberto Pérez | 60 Day Injury List | Hamstring |
| Kevin Newman | Day-to-day | Finger |
Last Time Out: Mets and Pirates
The Mets lost 6-3 against the Cubs yesterday, with David Peterson getting credited with the loss. He threw zero innings, giving up five earned runs on two hits while striking out one. Tomas Nido went 2-for-3 with a home run and an RBI to lead the Mets offensively.
The Pirates knocked off the Reds 10-4 yesterday. Rodolfo Castro went 2-for-5 with a home run and four RBI, and Tyler Beede got the win, pitching two innings, giving up one earned run on three hits while striking out one.
Betting Trends
Mets Betting Records and Team Stats
This season, the Mets have been favored 108 times and won 71, or 65.7%, of those games. New York has a record of 10-6, a 62.5% win rate, when favored by -266 or more by oddsmakers this season. The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 72.7% chance of a victory for the Mets. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 74 of 144 chances this season. The Mets are 77-67-0 against the spread in their 144 chances this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 143 | .268 (47) | .344 (42) | .508 (13) | 5.7% (9) | 19.3% (69) | 9.2% (58) |
| Francisco Lindor | 143 | .268 (47) | .344 (42) | .445 (54) | 3.7% (48) | 18.7% (62) | 9.3% (56) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 135 | .262 (62) | .353 (28) | .419 (74) | 2.3% (100) | 17.3% (48) | 10.0% (41) |
| Jeff McNeil | 130 | .321 (3) | .374 (13) | .448 (50) | 1.4% (123) | 11.2% (6) | 6.5% (103) |
| Mark Canha | 123 | .270 (44) | .368 (17) | .413 (78) | 2.6% (87) | 17.0% (43) | 9.6% (52) |
Pirates Betting Records and Team Stats
The Pirates have been victorious in 46, or 36.8%, of the 125 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This year, Pittsburgh has won five of 14 games when listed as at least +221 or worse on the moneyline. The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 31.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 63 of their 143 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 73-70-0 in 143 games with a line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 127 | .257 (71) | .337 (56) | .451 (46) | 4.3% (35) | 22.7% (91) | 9.4% (54) |
| Ke’Bryan Hayes | 121 | .250 (79) | .320 (85) | .358 (123) | 1.4% (123) | 22.0% (86) | 8.8% (67) |
| Ben Gamel | 102 | .237 (-) | .320 (-) | .376 (-) | 2.1% (-) | 22.3% (-) | 10.2% (-) |
| Michael Chavis | 121 | .237 (-) | .272 (-) | .404 (-) | 3.5% (-) | 29.8% (-) | 4.5% (-) |
| Oneil Cruz | 70 | .223 (-) | .272 (-) | .458 (-) | 5.3% (-) | 37.5% (-) | 6.4% (-) |
Mets vs. Pirates Picks and Predictions
Our top pick for Mets vs. Pirates sees the Mets (-266 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we pick the over on 7.5 runs.