Mets vs Pirates Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 15, 2022

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On Thursday, a series opener is on the schedule, with the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-88) visiting the New York Mets (89-55) at 7:20 PM ET. Carlos Carrasco (14-6) will start for the Mets, and JT Brubaker (3-11) for the Pirates.

Oddsmakers have made the Mets a decent moneyline favorite (-266) at home over the Pirates (+221). The over/under for this contest is 7.5.

Mets vs. Pirates Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-266)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -109, Under: -111)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Pirates

  • Game Day: Thursday, September 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10 Day Injury List Finger
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Bryce Montes de Oca 15 Day Injury List Hamstring
Stephen Nogosek 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Drew Smith 15 Day Injury List Back
Max Scherzer 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Pirates Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Dillon Peters 15 Day Injury List Elbow
David Bednar 15 Day Injury List Back
Canaan Smith 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Max Kranick 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Colin Holderman 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Yerry De Los Santos 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Blake Cederlind 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Roberto Pérez 60 Day Injury List Hamstring
Kevin Newman Day-to-day Finger

Last Time Out: Mets and Pirates

The Mets lost 6-3 against the Cubs yesterday, with David Peterson getting credited with the loss. He threw zero innings, giving up five earned runs on two hits while striking out one. Tomas Nido went 2-for-3 with a home run and an RBI to lead the Mets offensively.

The Pirates knocked off the Reds 10-4 yesterday. Rodolfo Castro went 2-for-5 with a home run and four RBI, and Tyler Beede got the win, pitching two innings, giving up one earned run on three hits while striking out one.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have been favored 108 times and won 71, or 65.7%, of those games. New York has a record of 10-6, a 62.5% win rate, when favored by -266 or more by oddsmakers this season. The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 72.7% chance of a victory for the Mets. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 74 of 144 chances this season. The Mets are 77-67-0 against the spread in their 144 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 143 .268 (47) .344 (42) .508 (13) 5.7% (9) 19.3% (69) 9.2% (58)
Francisco Lindor 143 .268 (47) .344 (42) .445 (54) 3.7% (48) 18.7% (62) 9.3% (56)
Brandon Nimmo 135 .262 (62) .353 (28) .419 (74) 2.3% (100) 17.3% (48) 10.0% (41)
Jeff McNeil 130 .321 (3) .374 (13) .448 (50) 1.4% (123) 11.2% (6) 6.5% (103)
Mark Canha 123 .270 (44) .368 (17) .413 (78) 2.6% (87) 17.0% (43) 9.6% (52)

Pirates Betting Records and Team Stats

The Pirates have been victorious in 46, or 36.8%, of the 125 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This year, Pittsburgh has won five of 14 games when listed as at least +221 or worse on the moneyline. The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 31.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 63 of their 143 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 73-70-0 in 143 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Bryan Reynolds 127 .257 (71) .337 (56) .451 (46) 4.3% (35) 22.7% (91) 9.4% (54)
Ke’Bryan Hayes 121 .250 (79) .320 (85) .358 (123) 1.4% (123) 22.0% (86) 8.8% (67)
Ben Gamel 102 .237 (-) .320 (-) .376 (-) 2.1% (-) 22.3% (-) 10.2% (-)
Michael Chavis 121 .237 (-) .272 (-) .404 (-) 3.5% (-) 29.8% (-) 4.5% (-)
Oneil Cruz 70 .223 (-) .272 (-) .458 (-) 5.3% (-) 37.5% (-) 6.4% (-)

Mets vs. Pirates Picks and Predictions

Our top pick for Mets vs. Pirates sees the Mets (-266 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we pick the over on 7.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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