Mets vs Phillies Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Tuesday, May 30

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At Citi Field on Tuesday, the Philadelphia Phillies (25-28) play the New York Mets (27-27), fellow members of the NL East, at 7:10 PM ET. Kodai Senga (4-3) will start for the Mets, and Ranger Suarez (0-1) for the Phillies.

The Mets are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-138) at home over the Phillies (+118). The total for the Mets-Phillies game is 8.5.

Mets vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-138)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -116, Under: -104)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 30, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jimmy Yacabonis 15-Day Injured List Quadricep
Edwin Uceta 15-Day Injured List Ankle
Omar Narváez 60-Day Injured List Calf
Tim Locastro 60-Day Injured List Thumb
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Elieser Hernandez 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
José Quintana 60-Day Injured List Ribs
Stephen Ridings 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Sam Coonrod 60-Day Injured List Back

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Cristian Pache 10-Day Injured List Knee
José Alvarado 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Darick Hall 60-Day Injured List Thumb
Noah Song 60-Day Injured List Back
Rafael Marchan 60-Day Injured List Hand
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Last Time Out: Mets and Phillies

The Mets lost 11-10 to the Rockies Tuesday, with Stephen Nogosek (one inning, giving up five earned runs on four hits) on the line for the loss. Tommy Pham went 3-for-4 with a double, a triple and four RBI to lead the Mets offensively in the defeat.

The Phillies fell to the Braves 11-4 Tuesday. Kyle Schwarber went 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI in the defeat, while Dylan Covey took the loss on the mound, throwing 2/3 of an inning, giving up five earned runs on six hits.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have entered the game as favorites 37 times this season and won 19, or 51.4%, of those games. New York has a record of 12-17 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -138 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 58%. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 22 of 47 chances this season. The Mets are 14-33-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 54 .243 (106) .341 (63) .569 (5) 8.6% (2) 20.3% (71) 11.2% (49)
Brandon Nimmo 53 .306 (10) .392 (14) .451 (68) 1.7% (134) 19.2% (59) 11.3% (46)
Francisco Lindor 54 .225 (136) .295 (138) .423 (89) 3.8% (55) 22.4% (95) 7.2% (113)
Jeff McNeil 54 .292 (22) .370 (26) .365 (134) 0.9% (151) 9.1% (4) 9.1% (88)
Starling Marte 47 .243 (106) .311 (122) .312 (158) 1.1% (147) 17.4% (44) 6.8% (128)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have been victorious in seven, or 46.7%, of the 15 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This year, Philadelphia has won two of six games when listed as at least +118 or worse on the moneyline. The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 21 of their 46 opportunities. The Phillies are 21-25-0 against the spread in their 46 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Alec Bohm 52 .269 (60) .325 (97) .409 (98) 2.8% (101) 16% (32) 7.1% (116)
Nicholas Castellanos 53 .300 (15) .348 (54) .469 (49) 2.2% (119) 25.9% (119) 7.1% (116)
Bryson Stott 51 .292 (22) .329 (93) .410 (96) 2.2% (119) 16.7% (38) 5.3% (143)
Kyle Schwarber 53 .168 (163) .323 (103) .408 (99) 5.8% (16) 28.8% (143) 17.3% (4)
Brandon Marsh 49 .273 (51) .377 (19) .480 (42) 2.9% (94) 30.9% (156) 13.7% (20)

Mets vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Mets to win (-138 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go under the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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