Mets vs Padres NL Wild Card Series Game 1: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Friday, October 7

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The New York Mets host the San Diego Padres to begin the NL Wild Card Series on Friday 8:07 PM ET at Citi Field. On the hill for the Mets will be Max Scherzer (11-5), matched up against the Padres’ Yu Darvish (16-8).

With the Padres (+129) visiting, the Mets (-153) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The game’s over/under is 6.

Mets vs. Padres Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-153)

Total

6 Runs (Over: -119, Under: -101)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Padres

  • Game Day: Friday, October 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10 Day Injury List Finger
Darin Ruf 10 Day Injury List Neck
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Tylor Megill 10 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Tommy Hunter 15 Day Injury List Back
Bryce Montes de Oca 15 Day Injury List Hamstring
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Padres Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Mike Clevinger 15 Day Injury List Illness
Austin Adams 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Drew Pomeranz 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Fernando Tatis Jr. Suspended List Suspension

Last Time Out: Mets and Padres

The Mets defeated the Nationals by a 9-2 score in their most recent game Friday. James McCann went 3-for-4 with a home run and three RBI to lead them offensively while Trevor Williams earned the win after throwing six innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits while striking out six.

The Padres were handed an 8-1 loss to the Giants Friday. Manny Machado (2-for-4 with a double) led the way offensively, while Craig Stammen took the loss on the mound after going three innings, giving up five earned runs on six hits while striking out three.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been favorites in 128 games this season and won 84 (65.6%) of those contests. New York has a record of 55-25, a 68.8% win rate, when favored by -153 or more by sportsbooks this season. The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.5% chance of a victory for the Mets. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 89 of 166 chances this season. In 166 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 88-78-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 160 .271 (40) .352 (30) .516 (11) 5.8% (5) 18.7% (57) 9.8% (42)
Francisco Lindor 161 .270 (44) .339 (46) .449 (47) 3.7% (47) 18.8% (59) 8.4% (69)
Brandon Nimmo 151 .274 (34) .367 (16) .433 (58) 2.4% (93) 17.3% (41) 10.6% (28)
Jeff McNeil 148 .326 (1) .382 (8) .454 (44) 1.5% (118) 10.4% (3) 6.8% (96)
Mark Canha 140 .266 (49) .367 (16) .403 (85) 2.4% (93) 17.9% (50) 8.9% (62)

Padres Betting Records and Team Stats

The Padres have come away with 23 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. This year, San Diego has won nine of 20 games when listed as at least +129 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 43.7% chance of walking away with the win. San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 77 of their 166 opportunities. The Padres have an against the spread record of 74-92-0 in 166 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Manny Machado 150 .298 (12) .366 (19) .531 (6) 5.0% (14) 20.7% (74) 9.8% (42)
Juan Soto 154 .242 (90) .401 (5) .452 (46) 4.1% (40) 14.5% (20) 20.4% (1)
Josh Bell 156 .268 (46) .363 (21) .424 (69) 2.6% (87) 15.8% (29) 12.6% (11)
Jake Cronenworth 158 .240 (92) .333 (52) .394 (97) 2.5% (91) 19.2% (65) 10.3% (33)
Brandon Drury 139 .263 (55) .320 (74) .492 (16) 4.9% (19) 22.2% (82) 6.7% (100)

Mets vs. Padres Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Mets to pick up the win (-153 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go over the total (6 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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