Mets vs Padres Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – April 11, 2023

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The New York Mets (6-5) will host the San Diego Padres (6-5), in the second game of a three-game series, Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. David Peterson (0-1) is the starter for the Mets, and Ryan Weathers for the Padres.

The Mets are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-149) at home over the Padres (+127). The game has an over/under of 9 runs.

Mets vs. Padres Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-149)

Total

9 Runs (Over: -108, Under: -113)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Padres

  • Game Day: Tuesday, April 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SNY
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Omar Narváez 10-Day Injured List Calf
Tommy Hunter 15-Day Injured List Back
Justin Verlander 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
José Quintana 15-Day Injured List Ribs
Elieser Hernandez 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Stephen Ridings 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Sam Coonrod 60-Day Injured List Back
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Starling Marte Day-to-day Neck

Padres Injury Report

Name Status Injury
David Dahl 10-Day Injured List Quadricep
Adam Engel 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
José Castillo 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Joe Musgrove 15-Day Injured List Toe
Drew Pomeranz 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Robert Suarez 15-Day Injured List Arm
Eguy Rosario 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Adrian Morejon 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Fernando Tatis Jr. Suspended List Suspension

Last Time Out: Mets and Padres

The Mets beat the Padres 5-0 yesterday, with Max Scherzer getting the win (5.0 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 6 K) and Brandon Nimmo leading the way offensively (going 1-for-4). Yu Darvish (6.1 IP, 5 R, 6 H, 5 K) took the loss for the Padres.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have been favored eight times and won five of those games. New York has entered three games this season favored by -149 or more and is 2-1 in those contests. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Mets. New York’s games have gone over the total in six of their 11 chances. In 11 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 7-4-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 11 .214 (143) .298 (131) .595 (27) 10.6% (3) 17.0% (53) 10.6% (81)
Brandon Nimmo 11 .200 (151) .405 (39) .233 (172) 0.0% (134) 7.1% (3) 23.8% (5)
Starling Marte 11 .303 (55) .378 (62) .485 (63) 2.7% (94) 13.5% (33) 8.1% (101)
Francisco Lindor 11 .216 (141) .362 (74) .405 (111) 2.1% (128) 29.8% (159) 14.9% (34)
Jeff McNeil 11 .250 (101) .348 (90) .350 (139) 0.0% (134) 13.0% (27) 10.9% (78)

Padres Betting Records and Team Stats

The Padres have come away with two wins in the four contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. San Diego has been listed as an underdog of +127 or more on two occasions this season and split those games. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 44.1% chance of pulling out a win. San Diego’s games have gone over the total in six of their 11 opportunities. The Padres have posted a record of 5-6-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Xander Bogaerts 11 .325 (35) .429 (23) .625 (19) 6.1% (31) 10.2% (14) 16.3% (24)
Juan Soto 11 .205 (148) .380 (61) .410 (107) 4.1% (67) 16.3% (50) 22.4% (8)
Ha-Seong Kim 11 .286 (72) .359 (78) .571 (32) 5.1% (46) 23.1% (106) 10.3% (85)
Nelson Cruz 11 .350 (-) .381 (-) .750 (-) 9.5% (-) 19.0% (-) 0.0% (-)
Trent Grisham 11 .225 (136) .326 (106) .500 (52) 6.5% (25) 28.3% (146) 13.0% (54)

Mets vs. Padres Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Padres to win (+127 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go under the total (9 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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