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The New York Mets and the San Diego Padres hit the field for the deciding Game 3 of the NL Wild Card Series on Sunday 7:07 PM ET at Citi Field. The series is tied at 1-1. Chris Bassitt (15-9) will start for the Mets, and Joe Musgrove (10-7) for the Padres.
The Mets are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-136) at home over the Padres (+116). The game’s total is 6.5.
Mets vs. Padres Odds
Run Line
New York Mets (-1.5)
Moneyline
Mets (-136)
Total
6.5 Runs (Over: -114, Under: -106)
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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Padres
- Game Day: Sunday, October 9, 2022
- Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Location: Queens, New York
- Stadium: Citi Field
Mets Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joely Rodriguez | 40 Man Active | Shoulder |
| Joey Lucchesi | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| John Curtiss | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
Padres Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Adams | 60 Day Injury List | Forearm |
| Drew Pomeranz | 60 Day Injury List | Forearm |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Suspended List | Suspension |
Last Time Out: Mets and Padres
Jacob deGrom (6.00 IP, 2 R, 5 H, 8 K) picked up the win in the Mets’ 7-3 victory over the Padres yesterday. Francisco Lindor led the way offensively, going 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI. Nick Martinez (2.00 IP, 1 R, 1 H, 0 K) was handed the loss for the Padres.
Betting Trends
Mets Betting Records and Team Stats
The Mets have entered the game as favorites 130 times this season and won 85, or 65.4%, of those games. New York has a record of 65-33, a 66.3% win rate, when favored by -136 or more by oddsmakers this season. The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 57.6%. So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 91 of their 168 games with a total. The Mets are 89-79-0 ATS in their 168 games with a spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 160 | .271 (40) | .352 (30) | .516 (11) | 5.8% (5) | 18.7% (57) | 9.8% (42) |
| Francisco Lindor | 161 | .270 (44) | .339 (46) | .449 (47) | 3.7% (47) | 18.8% (59) | 8.4% (69) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 151 | .274 (34) | .367 (16) | .433 (58) | 2.4% (93) | 17.3% (41) | 10.6% (28) |
| Jeff McNeil | 148 | .326 (1) | .382 (8) | .454 (44) | 1.5% (118) | 10.4% (3) | 6.8% (96) |
| Starling Marte | 118 | .292 (19) | .347 (35) | .468 (29) | 3.2% (63) | 19.2% (65) | 5.1% (119) |
Padres Betting Records and Team Stats
The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 51 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (47.1%) in those games. San Diego has a mark of 12-16 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +116 or worse on the moneyline. The Padres have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 79 of their 168 opportunities. In 168 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 75-93-0 against the spread.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado | 150 | .298 (12) | .366 (19) | .531 (6) | 5.0% (14) | 20.7% (74) | 9.8% (42) |
| Juan Soto | 154 | .242 (90) | .401 (5) | .452 (46) | 4.1% (40) | 14.5% (20) | 20.4% (1) |
| Josh Bell | 156 | .268 (46) | .363 (21) | .424 (69) | 2.6% (87) | 15.8% (29) | 12.6% (11) |
| Jake Cronenworth | 158 | .240 (92) | .333 (52) | .394 (97) | 2.5% (91) | 19.2% (65) | 10.3% (33) |
| Brandon Drury | 139 | .263 (55) | .320 (74) | .492 (16) | 4.9% (19) | 22.2% (82) | 6.7% (100) |
Mets vs. Padres Picks and Predictions
We pick that the Mets will pick up the win in this game, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-136). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (6.5 runs).
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