Mets vs Nationals Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 4, 2022

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Two teams on losing streaks — the New York Mets (three in a row) and the Washington Nationals (two straight) — play on Tuesday at 4:10 PM ET, at Citi Field. The scheduled starters are Carlos Carrasco (15-7) for the Mets, and Cory Abbott (0-4) for the Nationals.

Sportsbooks have made the Mets a decent moneyline favorite (-269) at home over the Nationals (+218). The total for this contest is set at 7.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-269)

Total

7 Runs (Over: -125, Under: +105)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Nationals

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SNY,MASN
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10 Day Injury List Finger
Darin Ruf 10 Day Injury List Neck
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Tommy Hunter 15 Day Injury List Back
Mychal Givens 15 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Bryce Montes de Oca 15 Day Injury List Hamstring
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jacob deGrom Day-to-day Finger

Nationals Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Keibert Ruiz 10 Day Injury List Groin
Victor Arano 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Cade Cavalli 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Tanner Rainey 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Will Harris 60 Day Injury List Pectoral
Stephen Strasburg 60 Day Injury List Ribs
Yadiel Hernandez 60 Day Injury List Calf
Sean Doolittle 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Joe Ross 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Carter Kieboom 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jackson Tetreault 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Evan Lee 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Mets and Nationals

The Nationals were defeated by the Phillies 8-1 Tuesday. Ildemaro Vargas led the way offensively after going 1-for-2 with a double, and Patrick Corbin took the loss, pitching four innings, giving up seven earned runs on 10 hits while striking out three.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have won 81 out of the 125 games, or 64.8%, in which they’ve been favored. New York is 13-8 this season when entering a game favored by -269 or more on the moneyline. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 72.9% chance of a victory for the Mets. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 87 of 163 chances this season. In 163 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 85-78-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 158 .269 (43) .349 (31) .515 (11) 5.9% (4) 18.9% (61) 9.6% (49)
Francisco Lindor 158 .271 (42) .341 (44) .447 (50) 3.6% (51) 18.8% (57) 8.5% (66)
Brandon Nimmo 149 .267 (47) .363 (21) .414 (76) 2.1% (106) 17.5% (47) 10.7% (29)
Jeff McNeil 145 .326 (1) .381 (8) .448 (48) 1.4% (119) 10.5% (3) 6.7% (100)
Mark Canha 137 .263 (56) .366 (17) .395 (98) 2.3% (98) 18.1% (50) 9.1% (54)

Nationals Betting Records and Team Stats

The Nationals have been victorious in 47, or 32.9%, of the 143 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This season, Washington has been victorious 12 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least +218 or worse on the moneyline. The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 31.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Washington and their opponents have gone over in 74 of their 162 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Nationals are 73-89-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Lane Thomas 143 .242 (91) .302 (108) .409 (79) 3.2% (63) 23.7% (94) 7.5% (81)
César Hernández 144 .248 (78) .312 (94) .319 (129) 0.2% (130) 18.6% (54) 7.5% (81)
Luke Voit 134 .230 (113) .313 (91) .408 (81) 4.0% (42) 31.3% (130) 9.9% (40)
Nelson Cruz 129 .234 (109) .313 (91) .337 (124) 2.0% (111) 23.6% (91) 9.7% (47)
Joey Meneses 53 .327 (-) .368 (-) .578 (-) 5.7% (-) 21.5% (-) 6.1% (-)

Mets vs. Nationals Picks and Predictions

Our top pick for Mets vs. Nationals sees the Mets (-269 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the over on 7 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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