Mets vs Nationals Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 3, 2022

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The Washington Nationals (55-104) will visit the New York Mets (98-61), Monday at 7:10 PM ET, with both squads on losing streaks — two and three straight, respectively. Carlos Carrasco (15-7) will start for the Mets, and Cory Abbott (0-4) for the Nationals.

Bookmakers have made the Mets heavy favorites at home (-310). The Nationals are +254 as the road underdogs. The total for the Mets-Nationals game is 7.5.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-310)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -109, Under: -112)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Nationals

  • Game Day: Monday, October 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10 Day Injury List Finger
Darin Ruf 10 Day Injury List Neck
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Tommy Hunter 15 Day Injury List Back
Mychal Givens 15 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Bryce Montes de Oca 15 Day Injury List Hamstring
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jacob deGrom Day-to-day Finger

Nationals Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Keibert Ruiz 10 Day Injury List Groin
Victor Arano 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Cade Cavalli 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Tanner Rainey 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Will Harris 60 Day Injury List Pectoral
Stephen Strasburg 60 Day Injury List Ribs
Yadiel Hernandez 60 Day Injury List Calf
Sean Doolittle 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Joe Ross 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Carter Kieboom 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jackson Tetreault 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Evan Lee 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Mets and Nationals

The Mets lost 5-3 to the Braves yesterday, with Chris Bassitt (two innings, giving up four earned runs on three hits while striking out two) on the line for the loss. Jeff McNeil went 3-for-5 with a home run and an RBI to lead the Mets offensively in the defeat.

The Nationals were defeated by the Phillies 8-1 yesterday. Ildemaro Vargas led the way offensively after going 1-for-2 with a double in the defeat, while Patrick Corbin took the loss on the mound, pitching four innings, giving up seven earned runs on 10 hits while striking out three.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have been favored 125 times and won 81, or 64.8%, of those games. This season, New York has won nine of its 15 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -310 on the moneyline. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 75.6% chance to win. New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 87 of their 163 opportunities. The Mets are 85-78-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 158 .269 (46) .349 (33) .515 (11) 5.9% (4) 18.9% (64) 9.6% (49)
Francisco Lindor 158 .271 (43) .341 (45) .447 (51) 3.6% (53) 18.8% (61) 8.5% (68)
Brandon Nimmo 149 .267 (49) .363 (21) .414 (79) 2.1% (108) 17.5% (48) 10.7% (27)
Jeff McNeil 145 .326 (1) .381 (8) .448 (48) 1.4% (121) 10.5% (3) 6.7% (101)
Mark Canha 137 .263 (58) .366 (17) .395 (101) 2.3% (100) 18.1% (53) 9.1% (56)

Nationals Betting Records and Team Stats

The Nationals have been underdogs in 143 games this season and have come away with the win 47 times (32.9%) in those contests. This season, Washington has been victorious seven times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +254 or longer on the moneyline. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 28.2% chance of pulling out a win. Washington’s games have gone over the total in 74 of their 162 opportunities. The Nationals are 73-89-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Lane Thomas 143 .242 (97) .302 (112) .409 (82) 3.2% (64) 23.7% (97) 7.5% (82)
César Hernández 144 .248 (83) .312 (97) .319 (132) 0.2% (133) 18.6% (57) 7.5% (82)
Luke Voit 134 .230 (115) .313 (94) .408 (83) 4.0% (43) 31.3% (133) 9.9% (39)
Nelson Cruz 129 .234 (112) .313 (94) .337 (127) 2.0% (112) 23.6% (95) 9.7% (47)
Joey Meneses 53 .327 (-) .368 (-) .578 (-) 5.7% (-) 21.5% (-) 6.1% (-)

Mets vs. Nationals Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Mets will pick up the victory in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-310). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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