Mets vs Nationals Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 12, 2023

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Two clubs in the NL East — the New York Mets (18-20) and the Washington Nationals (16-21) — meet on Friday at 7:05 PM ET, at Nationals Park. The scheduled starters are Tylor Megill (3-2) for the Mets, and MacKenzie Gore (3-2) for the Nationals.

Sportsbooks have set the Mets as the moderate moneyline favorites (-130) on the road versus the Nationals (+110). The over/under for the Mets-Nationals game is set at 8.5.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-130)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -121, Under: +100)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Nationals

  • Game Day: Friday, May 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MASN
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tim Locastro 10-Day Injured List Back
Tomás Nido 10-Day Injured List Eye
Jimmy Yacabonis 15-Day Injured List Quadricep
Brooks Raley 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Uceta 15-Day Injured List Ankle
Carlos Carrasco 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Elieser Hernandez 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Omar Narváez 60-Day Injured List Calf
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
José Quintana 60-Day Injured List Ribs
Stephen Ridings 60-Day Injured List Shoulder

Nationals Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Corey Dickerson 10-Day Injured List Calf
Victor Robles 10-Day Injured List Back
Israel Pineda 10-Day Injured List Finger
Chad Kuhl 15-Day Injured List Foot
Stephen Strasburg 60-Day Injured List Ribs
Cade Cavalli 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Victor Arano 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Tanner Rainey 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Jeimer Candelario Day-to-day Leg

Last Time Out: Mets and Nationals

The Mets lost 5-0 against the Reds yesterday, with Kodai Senga getting credited with the loss. He threw five innings, giving up five earned runs on eight hits while striking out seven. Francisco Alvarez went 2-for-4 with a double to lead the Mets offensively.

Friday, the Nationals knocked off the Giants 11-6. Josiah Gray was the winning pitcher after he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits while striking out three. Ildemaro Vargas paced the Nationals’ offense, going 3-for-5 with a double, a triple and three RBI.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have won 14, or 48.3%, of the 29 games they’ve played as favorites this season. New York has a record of 11-13 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 56.5% chance to win. New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of their 39 opportunities. In 39 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 15-24-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 38 .234 (120) .329 (84) .532 (21) 8.1% (3) 23% (107) 11.8% (44)
Brandon Nimmo 37 .312 (12) .409 (13) .449 (67) 1.8% (136) 18.3% (54) 12.2% (36)
Francisco Lindor 38 .224 (132) .317 (108) .434 (70) 3.7% (59) 25% (119) 9.1% (92)
Jeff McNeil 38 .269 (64) .368 (42) .373 (119) 1.3% (148) 8.4% (3) 10.3% (69)
Mark Canha 34 .217 (146) .295 (138) .357 (134) 2.3% (116) 18.2% (51) 9.1% (92)

Nationals Betting Records and Team Stats

The Nationals have come away with 16 wins in the 37 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. Washington has a win-loss record of 15-20 when favored by +110 or worse by bookmakers this year. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win. Washington’s games have gone over the total in 16 of their 37 opportunities. In 37 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 23-14-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Luis Garcia 32 .264 (70) .311 (116) .397 (99) 2.3% (116) 9.1% (5) 6.8% (130)
Lane Thomas 36 .281 (46) .333 (80) .415 (90) 2.7% (89) 25.2% (121) 6.1% (138)
Alex Call 33 .230 (126) .329 (84) .336 (151) 2.1% (124) 19.6% (70) 11.9% (42)
Joey Meneses 36 .288 (39) .314 (112) .373 (119) 1.3% (148) 20.1% (75) 3.8% (166)
Keibert Ruiz 31 .246 (99) .308 (123) .361 (126) 2.3% (116) 8.3% (2) 6.8% (130)

Mets vs. Nationals Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Nationals to win (+110 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go under the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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