Mets vs Nationals Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – April 27, 2023

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On Thursday, the New York Mets (14-11) are hosting the Washington Nationals (9-14), at 7:10 PM ET. The Mets have lost four straight. Joey Lucchesi (1-0) will start for the Mets, and Trevor Williams (1-1) for the Nationals.

The Nationals (+193) take their show on the road to face the favored Mets (-232). The over/under for the Mets-Nationals game is set at 8.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-232)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -106, Under: -114)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Nationals

  • Game Day: Thursday, April 27, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SNY
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tim Locastro 10-Day Injured List Back
Omar Narváez 10-Day Injured List Calf
Justin Verlander 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Stephen Ridings 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Elieser Hernandez 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Stephen Nogosek 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Uceta 15-Day Injured List Ankle
Carlos Carrasco 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
José Quintana 60-Day Injured List Ribs
Sam Coonrod 60-Day Injured List Back

Nationals Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Ildemaro Vargas 10-Day Injured List Shoulder
Carter Kieboom 10-Day Injured List Shoulder
Israel Pineda 10-Day Injured List Finger
Corey Dickerson 10-Day Injured List Calf
Victor Arano 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Cade Cavalli 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Tanner Rainey 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Stephen Strasburg 60-Day Injured List Ribs

Last Time Out: Mets and Nationals

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have entered the game as favorites 18 times this season and won 11, or 61.1%, of those games. New York has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -232 moneyline set for this game. The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.9% chance of a victory for the Mets. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 10 of 25 chances this season. The Mets are 13-12-0 against the spread in their 25 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 25 .245 (101) .321 (97) .561 (16) 9.2% (3) 23.9% (104) 10.1% (76)
Brandon Nimmo 25 .337 (9) .449 (3) .477 (49) 1.9% (128) 13.1% (19) 15.9% (18)
Francisco Lindor 25 .213 (154) .318 (103) .436 (76) 3.6% (71) 26.4% (126) 10.0% (80)
Jeff McNeil 25 .295 (29) .415 (11) .398 (104) 0.9% (158) 8.5% (5) 13.2% (36)
Mark Canha 24 .228 (129) .323 (93) .380 (116) 2.2% (113) 19.4% (67) 10.8% (66)

Nationals Betting Records and Team Stats

The Nationals have won in nine, or 39.1%, of the 23 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Washington has been victorious three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +193 or worse on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 34.1% chance of pulling out a win. Washington’s games have gone over the total in 10 of their 23 opportunities. The Nationals have posted a record of 14-9-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Jeimer Candelario 23 .245 (101) .291 (145) .415 (94) 3.9% (61) 21.4% (84) 4.9% (156)
Keibert Ruiz 23 .286 (40) .353 (67) .416 (92) 2.4% (104) 8.2% (4) 8.2% (104)
Victor Robles 23 .279 (49) .380 (36) .353 (132) 0.0% (162) 15.2% (31) 10.1% (76)
Alex Call 23 .224 (135) .357 (60) .284 (171) 1.2% (142) 20.2% (72) 16.7% (14)
Luis Garcia 23 .209 (158) .260 (167) .328 (150) 2.7% (94) 9.6% (6) 6.8% (130)

Mets vs. Nationals Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Mets vs. Nationals sees the Mets (-232 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we prefer the under on 8 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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