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At Citi Field on Tuesday, the Miami Marlins (63-90) face the New York Mets (97-57), fellow members of the NL East, at 7:10 PM ET. On the hill for the Mets will be Carlos Carrasco (15-6), opposed by the Marlins’ Pablo Lopez (9-10).
The Mets are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-209) at home over the Marlins (+175). The game has an over/under of 7 runs.
Mets vs. Marlins Odds
Run Line
New York Mets (-1.5)
Moneyline
Mets (-209)
Total
7 Runs (Over: -111, Under: -109)
When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Marlins
- Game Day: Tuesday, September 27, 2022
- Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
- Location: Queens, New York
- Stadium: Citi Field
Mets Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 10 Day Injury List | Finger |
| Brett Baty | 10 Day Injury List | Thumb |
| Tommy Hunter | 15 Day Injury List | Back |
| Mychal Givens | 15 Day Injury List | Undisclosed |
| Bryce Montes de Oca | 15 Day Injury List | Hamstring |
| Joey Lucchesi | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| John Curtiss | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
Marlins Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Wendle | 10 Day Injury List | Hamstring |
| Avisaíl García | 10 Day Injury List | Hamstring |
| Tommy Nance | 15 Day Injury List | Groin |
| Trevor Rogers | 15 Day Injury List | Back |
| Jorge Soler | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
| Jordan Holloway | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Jazz Chisholm | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
| Paul Campbell | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Cody Poteet | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Max Meyer | 60 Day Injury List | Arm |
| Anthony Bender | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Sean Guenther | 60 Day Injury List | Arm |
Last Time Out: Mets and Marlins
The Mets won 13-4 over the Athletics Tuesday in their most recent game. Max Scherzer was named the winning pitcher after throwing six innings, giving up one earned run on four hits while striking out seven, while Pete Alonso finished 4-for-5 with a double, a home run and five RBI to lead them offensively.
Tuesday, the Marlins lost to the Nationals 6-1. Edward Cabrera was the losing pitcher after he went three innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits while striking out three. Lewin Diaz led the Marlins’ offense, going 1-for-3 with a home run and an RBI.
Betting Trends
Mets Betting Records and Team Stats
The Mets have entered the game as favorites 121 times this season and won 80, or 66.1%, of those games. This season, New York has won 24 of its 36 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -209 on the moneyline. The Mets have a 67.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 83 of 158 chances this season. The Mets are 85-73-0 ATS in their 158 games with a spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 153 | .270 (43) | .349 (34) | .519 (10) | 5.9% (5) | 18.8% (62) | 9.5% (48) |
| Francisco Lindor | 153 | .275 (36) | .346 (36) | .456 (46) | 3.7% (49) | 18.6% (58) | 8.8% (64) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 144 | .268 (48) | .362 (21) | .420 (70) | 2.2% (106) | 17.7% (47) | 10.6% (30) |
| Jeff McNeil | 140 | .317 (2) | .375 (11) | .438 (60) | 1.3% (122) | 10.9% (5) | 6.8% (100) |
| Mark Canha | 132 | .267 (49) | .371 (15) | .406 (85) | 2.4% (94) | 17.7% (47) | 9.2% (51) |
Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats
The Marlins have been victorious in 29, or 31.9%, of the 91 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This season, Miami has been victorious one time in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +175 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 36.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 69 of their 157 opportunities. The Marlins are 72-85-0 against the spread in their 157 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Rojas | 138 | .234 (108) | .280 (128) | .324 (130) | 1.2% (125) | 12.2% (11) | 5.1% (122) |
| Garrett Cooper | 119 | .260 (-) | .335 (-) | .415 (-) | 1.9% (-) | 25.3% (-) | 8.6% (-) |
| Jon Berti | 93 | .240 (-) | .324 (-) | .338 (-) | 1.1% (-) | 20.7% (-) | 10.4% (-) |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 106 | .235 (-) | .282 (-) | .399 (-) | 3.5% (-) | 25.3% (-) | 5.7% (-) |
| Brian Anderson | 93 | .227 (-) | .317 (-) | .358 (-) | 2.2% (-) | 25.8% (-) | 9.8% (-) |
Mets vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions
We predict that the Mets will pick up the victory in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-209). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (7 runs).