Mets vs Marlins Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 9, 2022

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At LoanDepot park on Friday, the New York Mets (87-51) play the Miami Marlins (56-80), fellow members of the NL East, at 6:40 PM ET. On the hill for the Mets will be David Peterson (7-3), matched up against the Marlins’ Edward Cabrera (4-2).

The Mets are currently a moderate moneyline favorite (-167) on the road at the Marlins (+142). The game’s total is 7.5.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-167)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -104, Under: -117)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Friday, September 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: LoanDepot park

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luis Guillorme 10 Day Injury List Groin
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Drew Smith 15 Day Injury List Back
Max Scherzer 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Trevor May 15 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Stephen Nogosek 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Starling Marte Day-to-day Finger

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jorge Soler 10 Day Injury List Back
Braxton Garrett 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Jordan Holloway 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jazz Chisholm 60 Day Injury List Back
Paul Campbell 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Cody Poteet 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Max Meyer 60 Day Injury List Arm
Anthony Bender 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Guenther 60 Day Injury List Arm
Daniel Castano 7 Day Injury List Head
Jon Berti Day-to-day Hip

Last Time Out: Mets and Marlins

The Mets were vicotrious 10-0 over the Pirates Friday in their last game. Francisco Lindor went 2-for-4 with two doubles and three RBI to lead them offensively while Jacob deGrom was earned the victory after throwing seven innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out eight.

The Marlins knocked off the Phillies 6-5 yesterday. Lewin Diaz went 1-for-2 with a home run and an RBI, and Dylan Floro got the win, pitching two innings without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out one.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have been favored 102 times and won 69, or 67.6%, of those games. New York has a record of 31-12 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -167 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 62.5%. New York and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of their 138 games with a total this season. The Mets are 75-63-0 against the spread in their 138 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 137 .267 (48) .345 (40) .501 (14) 5.5% (11) 19.5% (72) 9.4% (52)
Francisco Lindor 137 .265 (52) .342 (47) .437 (61) 3.5% (53) 18.8% (65) 9.3% (56)
Starling Marte 118 .292 (16) .347 (38) .468 (31) 3.2% (66) 19.2% (69) 5.1% (132)
Brandon Nimmo 129 .265 (52) .351 (28) .420 (69) 2.3% (99) 16.9% (45) 9.2% (58)
Jeff McNeil 124 .318 (3) .368 (17) .451 (47) 1.4% (123) 11.6% (7) 6.2% (110)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 83 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (30.1%) in those games. Miami has a win-loss record of 3-22 when favored by +142 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 41.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Miami’s games have gone over the total in 59 of their 136 opportunities. The Marlins have posted a record of 63-73-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Miguel Rojas 122 .227 (125) .273 (137) .318 (136) 1.4% (123) 12.6% (13) 5.3% (130)
Jon Berti 78 .258 (-) .348 (-) .360 (-) 1% (-) 21.5% (-) 11.3% (-)
Garrett Cooper 106 .255 (-) .332 (-) .396 (-) 1.7% (-) 25.4% (-) 8.7% (-)
Joey Wendle 86 .252 (-) .294 (-) .356 (-) 0.9% (-) 12.8% (-) 4.4% (-)
Nick Fortes 55 .234 (-) .314 (-) .409 (-) 4.1% (-) 19.2% (-) 7.6% (-)

Mets vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Mets to pick up the win (-167 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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