Mets vs Marlins Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 28, 2022

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At Citi Field on Wednesday, the Miami Marlins (64-90) play the New York Mets (97-58), with first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. Taijuan Walker (12-5) is the starter for the Mets, and Jesus Luzardo (3-7) for the Marlins.

The Marlins (+160) take their show on the road to face the favored Mets (-192). The game’s total is set at 7.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-192)

Total

7 Runs (Over: -109, Under: -111)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Wednesday, September 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10 Day Injury List Finger
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Tommy Hunter 15 Day Injury List Back
Mychal Givens 15 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Bryce Montes de Oca 15 Day Injury List Hamstring
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Joey Wendle 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Avisaíl García 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Tommy Nance 15 Day Injury List Groin
Trevor Rogers 15 Day Injury List Back
Jorge Soler 60 Day Injury List Back
Jordan Holloway 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jazz Chisholm 60 Day Injury List Back
Paul Campbell 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Cody Poteet 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Max Meyer 60 Day Injury List Arm
Anthony Bender 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Guenther 60 Day Injury List Arm

Last Time Out: Mets and Marlins

The Marlins took down the Mets 6-4 yesterday, with Pablo Lopez getting the win (6.00 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 5 K) and JJ Bleday leading the way offensively (going 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBI). Carlos Carrasco (3.00 IP, 4 R, 6 H, 2 K) took the loss for the Mets.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been favorites in 122 games this season and won 80 (65.6%) of those contests. New York has a record of 28-15 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -192 on the moneyline. The Mets have a 65.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 84 of 159 chances this season. The Mets are 85-74-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 154 .270 (43) .348 (33) .522 (10) 6.1% (4) 18.8% (63) 9.4% (50)
Francisco Lindor 154 .275 (36) .346 (37) .456 (44) 3.7% (51) 18.5% (58) 8.7% (65)
Brandon Nimmo 145 .268 (48) .362 (20) .418 (74) 2.2% (107) 17.5% (48) 10.6% (30)
Jeff McNeil 141 .319 (2) .375 (12) .439 (57) 1.2% (125) 10.9% (5) 6.8% (99)
Mark Canha 133 .267 (49) .370 (16) .404 (90) 2.3% (99) 17.9% (53) 9.2% (51)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have come away with 30 wins in the 92 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. This year, Miami has won three of 14 games when listed as at least +160 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 38.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of their 158 opportunities. The Marlins have posted a record of 73-85-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Miguel Rojas 139 .233 (111) .279 (129) .322 (131) 1.2% (125) 12.1% (11) 5.1% (124)
Garrett Cooper 120 .261 (-) .337 (-) .415 (-) 1.9% (-) 25.4% (-) 8.5% (-)
Jon Berti 94 .236 (-) .320 (-) .333 (-) 1.1% (-) 21.0% (-) 10.2% (-)
Bryan De La Cruz 107 .239 (-) .283 (-) .407 (-) 3.4% (-) 25.2% (-) 5.6% (-)
Brian Anderson 94 .233 (-) .321 (-) .365 (-) 2.2% (-) 25.8% (-) 9.7% (-)

Mets vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Mets to pick up the win (-192 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go over the total (7 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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