Mets vs Marlins Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – April 7, 2023

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The Miami Marlins (3-4) will take on the New York Mets (3-4), Friday at 1:10 PM ET, in a battle of NL East rivals. Tylor Megill will start for the Mets, and Edward Cabrera for the Marlins.

With the Marlins (+149) visiting, the Mets (-177) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The contest has an over/under set at 7.5.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-177)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -114, Under: -106)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Friday, April 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Location: ,
  • Stadium:

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tommy Hunter 15-Day Injured List Back
Elieser Hernandez 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Justin Verlander 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
José Quintana 15-Day Injured List Ribs
Stephen Ridings 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Sam Coonrod 60-Day Injured List Back
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Omar Narváez Day-to-day Calf

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Joey Wendle 10-Day Injured List Oblique
Johnny Cueto 15-Day Injured List Bicep
Tommy Nance 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Steven Okert 15-Day Injured List Groin
Anthony Bender 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Nic Enright 60-Day Injured List Illness
Max Meyer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Jazz Chisholm Day-to-day Hand

Last Time Out: Mets and Marlins

The Marlins knocked off the Twins 5-2 Friday. Jorge Soler went 2-for-4 with two home runs and four RBI, and Dylan Floro got the win, throwing one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out one.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have won two of the four games they’ve played as favorites this season. New York has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -177 moneyline set for this game. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 63.9% chance of a victory for the Mets. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in four of seven chances this season. The Mets are 4-3-0 ATS in their seven games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 7 .192 (150) .300 (117) .577 (49) 10.0% (10) 13.3% (37) 13.3% (46)
Brandon Nimmo 7 .238 (119) .393 (56) .286 (145) 0.0% (109) 7.1% (7) 21.4% (12)
Starling Marte 7 .280 (76) .333 (91) .360 (119) 0.0% (109) 11.1% (23) 3.7% (152)
Francisco Lindor 7 .227 (122) .379 (63) .364 (118) 0.0% (109) 20.7% (91) 17.2% (24)
Tommy Pham 7 .308 (-) .357 (-) .615 (-) 7.1% (-) 14.3% (-) 7.1% (-)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in five games this year and have walked away with the win two times (40%) in those games. Miami has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +149. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 40.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Miami and their opponents have hit the over in two of their seven games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. In seven games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 2-5-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Jorge Soler 7 .259 (102) .286 (132) .704 (17) 10.7% (5) 28.6% (141) 3.6% (158)
Luis Arraez 7 .458 (4) .500 (14) .500 (66) 0.0% (109) 11.5% (29) 7.7% (98)
Garrett Cooper 7 .261 (97) .261 (154) .478 (77) 4.3% (61) 30.4% (155) 0.0% (165)
Nick Fortes 7 .300 (-) .300 (-) .600 (-) 10.0% (-) 20.0% (-) 0.0% (-)
Jazz Chisholm 7 .190 (152) .292 (126) .381 (109) 4.2% (66) 37.5% (175) 12.5% (53)

Mets vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Mets to win (-177 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go under the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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