Mets vs Marlins Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 31

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At LoanDepot park on Sunday, the Miami Marlins play the New York Mets (five consecutive wins) at 1:40 PM ET. The starting pitchers are Taijuan Walker (8-2) for the Mets, and Pablo Lopez (7-5) for the Marlins.

Despite being the away team the Mets are a moderate moneyline favorite (-149) over the Marlins (+126). The total for this contest is set at 7.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-149)

Total

7 Runs (Over: -112, Under: -109)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Sunday, July 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: LoanDepot park

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
James McCann 10 Day Injury List Oblique
Dominic Smith 10 Day Injury List Ankle
Drew Smith 15 Day Injury List Back
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jacob deGrom 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Trevor May 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jorge Soler 10 Day Injury List Back
Garrett Cooper 10 Day Injury List Wrist
Brian Anderson 10 Day Injury List Shoulder
Elieser Hernandez 10 Day Injury List Illness
Jon Berti 10 Day Injury List Groin
Jordan Holloway 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Cole Sulser 15 Day Injury List Back
Trevor Rogers 15 Day Injury List Back
Edward Cabrera 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Tommy Nance 15 Day Injury List Groin
Max Meyer 60 Day Injury List Arm
Jesús Luzardo 60 Day Injury List Forearm

Last Time Out: Mets and Marlins

Carlos Carrasco (7.00 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 7 K) was credited with the win in the Mets’ 4-0 victory over the Marlins yesterday. Francisco Lindor led the way offensively, going 3-for-4 with a home run and two RBI. Nick Neidert (5.00 IP, 2 R, 5 H, 3 K) was handed the loss for the Marlins.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 49, or 68.1%, of those games. New York has a record of 30-10, a 75% win rate, when favored by -149 or more by sportsbooks this season. The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Mets. So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 100 games with a total. The Mets are 53-47-0 against the spread in their 100 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 99 .274 (42) .352 (41) .535 (9) 6.1% (8) 19.9% (76) 9.0% (70)
Francisco Lindor 99 .257 (71) .334 (67) .444 (61) 3.9% (47) 20.1% (78) 9.2% (65)
Starling Marte 84 .301 (15) .349 (44) .477 (31) 3.0% (76) 19.9% (76) 4.9% (142)
Brandon Nimmo 92 .263 (62) .345 (50) .426 (72) 2.5% (93) 17.5% (55) 9.1% (68)
Jeff McNeil 87 .289 (31) .350 (43) .411 (88) 1.5% (130) 12.9% (14) 7.2% (98)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have won in 19, or 34.5%, of the 55 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This year, Miami has won six of 24 games when listed as at least +126 or worse on the moneyline. The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Miami’s games have gone over the total in 49 of their 101 opportunities. The Marlins are 45-56-0 against the spread in their 101 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Miguel Rojas 92 .243 (105) .290 (135) .354 (133) 1.8% (120) 11.6% (9) 5.5% (131)
Jesús Aguilar 92 .244 (102) .291 (134) .390 (109) 3.2% (67) 23.8% (108) 5.8% (125)
Jesús Sánchez 90 .204 (147) .269 (148) .391 (108) 3.8% (51) 26.6% (132) 7.6% (93)
Joey Wendle 53 .282 (-) .330 (-) .384 (-) 1.0% (-) 10.3% (-) 5.2% (-)
Avisaíl García 88 .232 (122) .267 (149) .323 (145) 2.1% (107) 27.9% (139) 3.6% (152)

Mets vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Mets will pick up the victory in this game, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-149). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (7 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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