Mets vs Marlins Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 30

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The New York Mets (62-37) will visit the Miami Marlins (47-53), Saturday at 6:10 PM ET, with the Mets on a four-game winning streak. Carlos Carrasco (10-4) will start for the Mets. The Marlins have not named a starting pitcher yet.

The Mets are currently a moderate moneyline favorite (-198) on the road at the Marlins (+166). The contest has a total set at 8.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)


Mets (-198)


8 Runs (Over: -107, Under: -114)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Saturday, July 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: LoanDepot park

Mets Injury Report

James McCann10 Day Injury ListOblique
Dominic Smith10 Day Injury ListAnkle
Drew Smith15 Day Injury ListBack
Joey Lucchesi60 Day Injury ListElbow
John Curtiss60 Day Injury ListElbow
Jacob deGrom60 Day Injury ListShoulder
Trevor May60 Day Injury ListElbow
Sean Reid-Foley60 Day Injury ListElbow
Tylor Megill60 Day Injury ListShoulder

Marlins Injury Report

Jorge Soler10 Day Injury ListBack
Garrett Cooper10 Day Injury ListWrist
Brian Anderson10 Day Injury ListShoulder
Elieser Hernandez10 Day Injury ListIllness
Jon Berti10 Day Injury ListGroin
Trevor Rogers15 Day Injury ListBack
Edward Cabrera15 Day Injury ListElbow
Tommy Nance15 Day Injury ListGroin
Cole Sulser15 Day Injury ListBack
Jordan Holloway15 Day Injury ListElbow
Jimmy Yacabonis15 Day Injury ListGroin
Jesús Luzardo60 Day Injury ListForearm

Last Time Out: Mets and Marlins

These squads play again following the Mets’ 6-4 victory over the Marlins yesterday. Adam Ottavino (1 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 2 K) picked up the win for the Mets. Starling Marte went 3-for-5 with a triple, a home run and three RBI to lead the team on offense. Steven Okert (1 IP, 2 R, 3 H, 2 K) took the loss on the mound for the Marlins.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have been favored 71 times and won 48, or 67.6%, of those games. New York is 6-2 this season when entering a game favored by -198 or more on the moneyline. The Mets have a 66.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. New York and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 99 games with a total this season. The Mets are 52-47-0 ATS in their 99 games with a spread this season.

NameGPAVG (Rank)OBP (Rank)SLG (Rank)HR% (Rank)K% (Rank)BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso98.277 (40).356 (34).541 (9)6.2% (8)19.8% (77)9.1% (69)
Francisco Lindor98.252 (83).330 (73).433 (66)3.7% (55)20.3% (81)9.2% (63)
Starling Marte83.305 (14).353 (41).482 (26)3% (75)19.3% (73)5% (144)
Brandon Nimmo91.264 (62).347 (46).429 (69)2.5% (97)17.7% (56)9.2% (63)
Jeff McNeil86.287 (32).348 (45).397 (100)1.2% (138)13% (14)7.3% (99)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have won in 19, or 35.2%, of the 54 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This year, Miami has won one of three games when listed as at least +166 or worse on the moneyline. The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 37.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 49 of 100 chances this season. In 100 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 45-55-0 against the spread.

NameGPAVG (Rank)OBP (Rank)SLG (Rank)HR% (Rank)K% (Rank)BB% (Rank)
Miguel Rojas91.243 (105).290 (137).355 (136)1.9% (118)11.7% (10)5.6% (132)
Jesús Aguilar91.245 (99).291 (135).392 (107)3.2% (69)23.7% (105)5.6% (132)
Jesús Sánchez89.206 (149).272 (150).395 (104)3.8% (50)26.8% (134)7.7% (92)
Joey Wendle52.289 (-).337 (-).393 (-)1.1% (-)10.5% (-)5.3% (-)
Avisaíl García88.232 (123).267 (151).323 (147)2.1% (109)27.9% (139)3.6% (155)

Mets vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Mets to pick up the win (-198 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (8 runs).

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Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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