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The New York Mets (61-37) will visit the Miami Marlins (47-52), Friday at 6:40 PM ET, in a clash of NL East rivals. Chris Bassitt (7-7) will start for the Mets, and Sandy Alcantara (9-4) for the Marlins.
Despite playing away from home the Mets are at -125 to win, compared to the Marlins at +105. The total for this contest is set at 6.5.
Mets vs. Marlins Odds
Run Line
New York Mets (-1.5)
Moneyline
Mets (-125)
Total
6.5 Runs (Over: -113, Under: -108)
When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Marlins
- Game Day: Friday, July 29, 2022
- Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Stadium: LoanDepot park
Mets Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| James McCann | 10 Day Injury List | Oblique |
| Dominic Smith | 10 Day Injury List | Ankle |
| Joey Lucchesi | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| John Curtiss | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Jacob deGrom | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Trevor May | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Tylor Megill | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
Marlins Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 10 Day Injury List | Back |
| Garrett Cooper | 10 Day Injury List | Wrist |
| Brian Anderson | 10 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Elieser Hernandez | 10 Day Injury List | Illness |
| Jon Berti | 10 Day Injury List | Groin |
| Max Meyer | 15 Day Injury List | Arm |
| Edward Cabrera | 15 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Tommy Nance | 15 Day Injury List | Groin |
| Cole Sulser | 15 Day Injury List | Back |
| Jordan Holloway | 15 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Jimmy Yacabonis | 15 Day Injury List | Groin |
| Jesús Luzardo | 60 Day Injury List | Forearm |
Last Time Out: Mets and Marlins
The Mets beat the Yankees by a 3-2 score in their last game Friday. Pete Alonso went 1-for-3 with a home run and an RBI to lead them offensively while Seth Lugo picked up the win after throwing one inning without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out three.
The Marlins defeated the Reds 7-6 yesterday. Jesus Aguilar went 3-for-4 with a double, a home run and four RBI, and Zach Pop got the win, pitching one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out one.
Betting Trends
Mets Betting Records and Team Stats
This season, the Mets have won 47 out of the 70 games, or 67.1%, in which they’ve been favored. New York has a record of 41-20, a 67.2% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by sportsbooks this season. The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%. So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of their 98 games with a total. In 98 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 51-47-0 ATS.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 97 | .281 (37) | .357 (32) | .547 (8) | 6.3% (8) | 19.8% (78) | 8.9% (73) |
| Francisco Lindor | 97 | .251 (85) | .325 (83) | .430 (69) | 3.7% (53) | 20.3% (83) | 8.6% (77) |
| Starling Marte | 82 | .300 (17) | .349 (45) | .465 (42) | 2.8% (81) | 19.3% (74) | 5.0% (144) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 90 | .262 (65) | .346 (48) | .418 (83) | 2.3% (102) | 17.7% (55) | 9.3% (62) |
| Jeff McNeil | 85 | .288 (32) | .351 (39) | .400 (98) | 1.2% (138) | 12.9% (15) | 7.4% (100) |
Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats
The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 53 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (35.8%) in those games. Miami has a win-loss record of 13-29 when favored by +105 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Miami’s games have gone over the total in 48 of their 99 opportunities. The Marlins have an against the spread record of 45-54-0 in 99 games with a line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Aguilar | 90 | .248 (92) | .294 (132) | .397 (100) | 3.2% (70) | 23.7% (105) | 5.7% (133) |
| Miguel Rojas | 90 | .238 (113) | .284 (143) | .349 (139) | 1.9% (120) | 11.9% (10) | 5.3% (138) |
| Jesús Sánchez | 88 | .207 (150) | .272 (149) | .396 (101) | 3.8% (49) | 26.6% (133) | 7.7% (93) |
| Joey Wendle | 51 | .296 (-) | .341 (-) | .402 (-) | 1.1% (-) | 10.3% (-) | 5.4% (-) |
| Avisaíl García | 87 | .231 (123) | .264 (153) | .323 (148) | 2.1% (110) | 27.9% (140) | 3.3% (157) |
Mets vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions
Our prediction for Mets vs. Marlins is the Mets (-125 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we prefer the over on 6.5 runs.