Mets vs Cubs Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 14, 2022

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In the final game of a three-game set at Citi Field, the Chicago Cubs (60-82) take on the New York Mets (89-54), Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET. The starting pitchers are David Peterson (7-4) for the Mets, and Drew Smyly (6-7) for the Cubs.

With the Cubs (+163) visiting, the Mets (-195) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The game’s over/under is 7.5.

Mets vs. Cubs Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-195)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -112, Under: -108)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Cubs

  • Game Day: Wednesday, September 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10 Day Injury List Finger
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Bryce Montes de Oca 15 Day Injury List Hamstring
Stephen Nogosek 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Drew Smith 15 Day Injury List Back
Max Scherzer 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Madrigal 10 Day Injury List Groin
Willson Contreras 10 Day Injury List Ankle
Keegan Thompson 15 Day Injury List Back
Justin Steele 15 Day Injury List Back
Steven Brault 15 Day Injury List Shouder
Ethan Roberts 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Adbert Alzolay 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Brad Wieck 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jason Heyward 60 Day Injury List Knee
Kyle Hendricks 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Alec Mills 60 Day Injury List Back
Codi Heuer 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Mets and Cubs

The Cubs beat the Mets 4-1 yesterday, with Adrian Sampson getting the win (6.00 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 3 K) and Ian Happ leading the way offensively (going 2-for-3 with a home run and an RBI). Jacob deGrom (6.00 IP, 3 R, 4 H, 10 K) took the loss for the Mets.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been favorites in 107 games this season and won 71 (66.4%) of those contests. New York has a record of 19-10, a 65.5% win rate, when favored by -195 or more by oddsmakers this season. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 66.1% chance of a victory for the Mets. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 73 of 143 chances this season. The Mets are 77-66-0 against the spread in their 143 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 142 .268 (48) .345 (41) .505 (13) 5.6% (10) 19.3% (71) 9.2% (59)
Francisco Lindor 142 .268 (48) .345 (41) .446 (54) 3.7% (48) 18.6% (62) 9.3% (57)
Brandon Nimmo 134 .264 (57) .355 (28) .422 (73) 2.3% (101) 17.3% (48) 10.1% (41)
Jeff McNeil 129 .323 (2) .373 (13) .450 (49) 1.4% (124) 11.2% (6) 6.3% (107)
Mark Canha 122 .270 (45) .369 (17) .415 (78) 2.6% (89) 17.2% (46) 9.7% (50)

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

The Cubs have been underdogs in 99 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (42.4%) in those contests. Chicago has a win-loss record of 7-17 when favored by +163 or worse by sportsbooks this year. The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 38% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 58 of their 142 opportunities. The Cubs have an against the spread record of 72-70-0 in 142 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ian Happ 138 .272 (41) .346 (39) .457 (40) 3.0% (76) 23.8% (107) 9.2% (59)
Nico Hoerner 125 .291 (20) .338 (54) .421 (75) 1.9% (115) 10.7% (4) 5.5% (123)
Patrick Wisdom 120 .212 (133) .305 (113) .429 (66) 4.6% (26) 33.6% (139) 10.6% (31)
Seiya Suzuki 102 .263 (-) .333 (-) .434 (-) 3.2% (-) 24.8% (-) 9.0% (-)
Rafael Ortega 118 .241 (-) .331 (-) .358 (-) 1.9% (-) 20.1% (-) 11.9% (-)

Mets vs. Cubs Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Mets to emerge victorious (-195 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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