Mets vs Brewers Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 20, 2022

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The Milwaukee Brewers (78-69) will host the New York Mets (94-55), Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET, with the Mets on a five-game winning streak. The starting pitchers are Carlos Carrasco (15-6) for the Mets, and Aaron Ashby (2-10) for the Brewers.

Per the moneyline, the matchup between the Mets (-109) and Brewers (-108) looks like a close one. The game has an over/under set at 7.5 runs.

Mets vs. Brewers Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-109)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -114, Under: -106)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Brewers

  • Game Day: Tuesday, September 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Starling Marte 10 Day Injury List Finger
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Drew Smith 15 Day Injury List Back
Mychal Givens 15 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Bryce Montes de Oca 15 Day Injury List Hamstring
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Brewers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jonathan Davis 10 Day Injury List Elbow
Eric Lauer 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Trevor Gott 15 Day Injury List Forearm
Freddy Peralta 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Jandel Gustave 15 Day Injury List Forearm
Trevor Rosenthal 15 Day Injury List Hamstring
Aaron Ashby 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Alex Jackson 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Miguel Sanchez 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Matt Bush Day-to-day Groin

Last Time Out: Mets and Brewers

These clubs meet again following the Mets’ 7-2 victory over the Brewers yesterday. Max Scherzer (6.00 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 9 K) picked up the win for the Mets. Pete Alonso went 1-for-4 with a home run and three RBI to lead the team on offense. Corbin Burnes (5.00 IP, 5 R, 7 H, 4 K) took the loss on the mound for the Brewers.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been favorites in 116 games this season and won 77 (66.4%) of those contests. New York has a record of 77-39, a 66.4% win rate, when favored by -109 or more by sportsbooks this season. The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.2% chance of a victory for the Mets. So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of their 153 games with a total. The Mets are 82-71-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 148 .267 (48) .347 (34) .507 (14) 5.7% (9) 19.1% (63) 9.5% (51)
Francisco Lindor 148 .269 (44) .343 (42) .447 (51) 3.7% (48) 19.2% (64) 8.9% (63)
Brandon Nimmo 140 .265 (54) .360 (23) .420 (74) 2.2% (101) 17.8% (49) 10.6% (30)
Jeff McNeil 135 .320 (3) .378 (10) .444 (54) 1.3% (123) 11.0% (6) 6.9% (97)
Mark Canha 127 .264 (57) .366 (17) .403 (90) 2.5% (90) 17.2% (42) 9.7% (47)

Brewers Betting Records and Team Stats

The Brewers have won in 15, or 44.1%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 15-18 when favored by -108 or worse by sportsbooks this year. The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Contests with Milwaukee have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 74 of 150 chances this season. The Brewers have posted a record of 65-85-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rowdy Tellez 139 .225 (120) .311 (98) .471 (28) 5.9% (5) 20.5% (73) 10.2% (39)
Willy Adames 125 .238 (103) .302 (112) .473 (26) 5.4% (12) 26.4% (120) 8.5% (69)
Christian Yelich 140 .264 (57) .362 (22) .396 (97) 2.0% (107) 23.7% (96) 12.7% (8)
Andrew McCutchen 124 .239 (101) .308 (103) .391 (102) 3.2% (64) 20.7% (76) 8.6% (68)
Hunter Renfroe 112 .248 (82) .309 (102) .479 (23) 5.4% (12) 24.0% (102) 7.5% (81)

Mets vs. Brewers Picks and Predictions

Our top pick for Mets vs. Brewers sees the Mets (-109 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we prefer the over on 7.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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