Download App
At Truist Park on Friday, the Atlanta Braves (96-59) take on the New York Mets (98-58), fellow members of the NL East, at 7:20 PM ET. The starting pitchers are Jacob deGrom (4-3) for the Mets, and Max Fried (13-7) for the Braves.
Despite being the away team the Mets are a moderate moneyline favorite (-121) over the Braves (+104). The game has an over/under set at 6.5 runs.
Mets vs. Braves Odds
Run Line
New York Mets (-1.5)
Moneyline
Mets (-121)
Total
6.5 Runs (Over: -107, Under: -113)
When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Braves
- Game Day: Friday, September 30, 2022
- Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- Stadium: Truist Park
Mets Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 10 Day Injury List | Finger |
| Brett Baty | 10 Day Injury List | Thumb |
| Tommy Hunter | 15 Day Injury List | Back |
| Mychal Givens | 15 Day Injury List | Undisclosed |
| Bryce Montes de Oca | 15 Day Injury List | Hamstring |
| Joey Lucchesi | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| John Curtiss | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
Braves Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies | 10 Day Injury List | Finger |
| Chadwick Tromp | 10 Day Injury List | Quadricep |
| Kirby Yates | 15 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Spencer Strider | 15 Day Injury List | Oblique |
| Adam Duvall | 60 Day Injury List | Wrist |
| Darren O’Day | 60 Day Injury List | Calf |
| Manny Piña | 60 Day Injury List | Wrist |
| Luke Jackson | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Huascar Ynoa | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
Last Time Out: Mets and Braves
The Mets won their last contest versus the Marlins by a 5-4 score Friday, with Drew Smith picking up the win pitching throwing one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out two. Eduardo Escobar went 3-for-5 with a home run and five RBI to lead them offensively.
The Braves were handed a 3-2 loss to the Nationals Friday. Matt Olson (2-for-3 with a home run and an RBI) led the way offensively, while Jackson Stephens took the loss on the mound after going zero innings without giving up an earned run on one hit.
Betting Trends
Mets Betting Records and Team Stats
This season, the Mets have been favored 123 times and won 81, or 65.9%, of those games. New York has a record of 77-40, a 65.8% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by sportsbooks this season. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 54.8% chance to win. New York and its opponents have hit the over in 85 of their 160 games with a total this season. In 160 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 85-75-0 ATS.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 155 | .268 (46) | .347 (34) | .519 (10) | 6.0% (5) | 19.2% (66) | 9.5% (50) |
| Francisco Lindor | 155 | .274 (38) | .345 (36) | .454 (45) | 3.7% (48) | 18.5% (56) | 8.7% (64) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 146 | .266 (51) | .362 (21) | .416 (75) | 2.2% (104) | 17.4% (45) | 10.8% (26) |
| Jeff McNeil | 142 | .320 (2) | .377 (10) | .439 (59) | 1.2% (123) | 10.8% (5) | 6.9% (92) |
| Mark Canha | 134 | .265 (53) | .369 (17) | .400 (92) | 2.3% (99) | 18.0% (52) | 9.3% (51) |
Braves Betting Records and Team Stats
The Braves have been underdogs in 31 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (32.3%) in those contests. This year, Atlanta has won four of 18 games when listed as at least +104 or worse on the moneyline. The Braves have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 79 of their 159 opportunities. The Braves have an against the spread record of 80-79-0 in 159 games with a line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 154 | .275 (34) | .350 (31) | .531 (6) | 5.5% (10) | 23.8% (96) | 8.2% (70) |
| Matt Olson | 156 | .236 (105) | .322 (69) | .460 (39) | 4.5% (27) | 24.2% (104) | 10.8% (26) |
| Dansby Swanson | 156 | .276 (33) | .328 (61) | .435 (63) | 3.3% (58) | 26.4% (117) | 7.0% (90) |
| Michael Harris | 110 | .305 (-) | .344 (-) | .531 (-) | 4.5% (-) | 24.0% (-) | 4.5% (-) |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 116 | .267 (48) | .352 (29) | .421 (69) | 2.9% (74) | 23.5% (91) | 9.8% (44) |
Mets vs. Braves Picks and Predictions
Our pick for this matchup is the Braves to win (+104 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (6.5 runs).