Mets vs Braves Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – August 18, 2022

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At Truist Field on Thursday, the Atlanta Braves (71-47) play the New York Mets (76-42), with first pitch at 7:20 PM ET. The starting pitchers are Jacob deGrom (1-0) for the Mets, and Max Fried (10-4) for the Braves.

The Mets are currently a moderate moneyline favorite (-123) on the road at the Braves (+105). The game’s over/under is set at 7.

Mets vs. Braves Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-123)

Total

7 Runs (Over: -109, Under: -112)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Braves

  • Game Day: Thursday, August 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Stadium: Truist Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Eduardo Escobar 10 Day Injury List Oblique
Tomás Nido 10 Day Injury List Illness
Luis Guillorme 10 Day Injury List Groin
Drew Smith 15 Day Injury List Back
Carlos Carrasco 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Tommy Hunter 15 Day Injury List Back
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Ehire Adrianza 10 Day Injury List Illness
Orlando Arcia 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Chadwick Tromp 10 Day Injury List Quadricep
Darren O’Day 15 Day Injury List Calf
Ozzie Albies 60 Day Injury List Foot
Mike Soroka 60 Day Injury List Achilles
Adam Duvall 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Manny Piña 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Luke Jackson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Max Fried 7 Day Injury List Head
Ronald Acuña Jr. Day-to-day Knee
Eddie Rosario Day-to-day Hamstring

Last Time Out: Mets and Braves

Max Scherzer (6.00 IP, 4 R, 3 H, 8 K) was credited with the win in the Mets’ 9-7 victory over the Braves yesterday. Starling Marte led the way offensively, going 3-for-5 with two home runs and two RBI. Jake Odorizzi (5.00 IP, 5 R, 8 H, 2 K) was handed the loss for the Braves.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have won 62, or 70.5%, of the 88 games they’ve played as favorites this season. New York has a record of 55-23, a 70.5% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by bookmakers this season. The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 55.2%. New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of their 118 opportunities. The Mets are 65-53-0 ATS in their 118 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 117 .276 (36) .355 (32) .526 (11) 5.8% (10) 20.2% (76) 9.4% (55)
Francisco Lindor 117 .271 (45) .347 (43) .461 (37) 4.1% (36) 19.1% (67) 9.4% (55)
Starling Marte 100 .291 (22) .342 (54) .465 (34) 3.2% (65) 19.6% (72) 5.1% (134)
Brandon Nimmo 109 .267 (51) .351 (38) .413 (83) 2.1% (102) 16.5% (44) 9.1% (67)
Jeff McNeil 104 .316 (4) .371 (17) .460 (38) 1.7% (115) 12.9% (15) 6.5% (107)

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have been underdogs in 27 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (29.6%) in those contests. This season, Atlanta has come away with a win three times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of their 119 opportunities. The Braves are 60-59-0 against the spread in their 119 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Austin Riley 117 .288 (24) .354 (34) .566 (5) 5.9% (8) 24.2% (109) 7.3% (92)
Matt Olson 119 .249 (91) .335 (66) .490 (22) 4.8% (21) 24.7% (117) 10.9% (37)
Dansby Swanson 119 .292 (21) .348 (40) .455 (42) 3.2% (65) 26.3% (129) 7.5% (89)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 84 .275 (38) .371 (17) .419 (76) 2.7% (87) 22.3% (93) 11.0% (33)
Marcell Ozuna 108 .214 (136) .263 (141) .393 (100) 4.5% (28) 23.9% (107) 6.0% (119)

Mets vs. Braves Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Mets vs. Braves sees the Braves (+105 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we prefer the over on 7 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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