Marlins vs Pirates Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 11

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On Monday, a series opener is on the schedule, with the Pittsburgh Pirates (35-50) visiting the Miami Marlins (41-43) at 6:40 PM ET. Trevor Rogers (4-7) will start for the Marlins, and Mitch Keller (2-6) for the Pirates.

The Marlins are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-174) at home over the Pirates (+147). The total for the Marlins-Pirates game is 7.5.

Marlins vs. Pirates Odds

Run Line

Miami Marlins (-1.5)

Moneyline

Marlins (-174)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: +101, Under: -122)

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When, Where, at What Time is Marlins vs. Pirates

  • Game Day: Monday, July 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: LoanDepot park

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jorge Soler 10 Day Injury List Back
Jazz Chisholm 10 Day Injury List Back
Cole Sulser 15 Day Injury List Back
Cody Poteet 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Edward Cabrera 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Louis Head 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Anthony Bender 15 Day Injury List Back
Jesús Luzardo 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Paul Campbell 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Guenther 60 Day Injury List Arm
Miguel Rojas Day-to-day Neck

Pirates Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Dillon Peters 15 Day Injury List Back
Jake Marisnick 60 Day Injury List Thumb
Greg Allen 60 Day Injury List Hamstring
Roberto Pérez 60 Day Injury List Hamstring
Canaan Smith 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Blake Cederlind 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Nick Mears 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Max Kranick 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Bryan Reynolds Day-to-day Upper Body
Tyler Heineman Paternity List Personal

Last Time Out: Marlins and Pirates

The Marlins won 2-0 over the Mets yesterday in their last game. Richard Bleier was the winning pitcher after throwing one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run, while Jon Berti finished 3-for-4 to lead them offensively.

The Pirates earned an 8-6 victory over the Brewers yesterday. Ke’Bryan Hayes (3-for-4 with a double, a home run and an RBI) led the way offensively, while Chris Stratton got the win on the mound after going zero innings without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out one.

Betting Trends

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 35 times this season and won 23, or 65.7%, of those games. Miami has a record of 4-3 when favored by -174 or more by bookmakers this season. The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 63.5%. Miami’s games have gone over the total in 41 of their 84 chances. The Marlins are 43-41-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Garrett Cooper 75 .300 (18) .368 (25) .459 (46) 2.3% (99) 24.1% (112) 8.5% (80)
Miguel Rojas 77 .247 (87) .298 (121) .371 (127) 2.2% (105) 10.7% (8) 5.9% (132)
Jesús Aguilar 76 .247 (87) .292 (131) .408 (89) 3.5% (61) 23.8% (107) 6% (129)
Jon Berti 54 .277 (-) .365 (-) .386 (-) 0.9% (-) 20.9% (-) 11.4% (-)
Jesús Sánchez 73 .209 (146) .264 (150) .399 (98) 4% (46) 28.6% (142) 6.2% (125)

Pirates Betting Records and Team Stats

The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 70 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (38.6%) in those games. This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 14 times in 39 chances when named as an underdog of at least +147 or worse on the moneyline. The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 40.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 35 of 86 chances this season. The Pirates are 43-43-0 against the spread in their 86 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Bryan Reynolds 83 .261 (66) .343 (54) .465 (41) 4.4% (36) 23% (101) 10.2% (56)
Ke’Bryan Hayes 78 .251 (80) .325 (83) .359 (132) 1.2% (140) 22.2% (92) 9.4% (67)
Daniel Vogelbach 69 .241 (-) .339 (-) .455 (-) 4.7% (-) 23.6% (-) 13% (-)
Michael Chavis 75 .241 (-) .282 (-) .430 (-) 4.1% (-) 28.6% (-) 4.9% (-)
Jack Suwinski 68 .202 (-) .289 (-) .427 (-) 5.4% (-) 31.8% (-) 9.2% (-)

Marlins vs. Pirates Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Marlins to earn the win (-174 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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